IP
IndiaPulse

AFFLE

Small Cap

Affle 3i Limited

IT

Affle 3i Limited is a global technology company enabling AI-led solutions in digital advertising, driving performance across connected devices. It delivers consumer recommendations and conversions through relevant mobile advertising for leading global brands, primarily operating on a Cost Per Converted User (CPCU) business model.

₹1,505.2
+8.90 · +0.59%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
46

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
73

medium confidence · 4/4 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
44

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
95

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Average · 42/100

margin compression · Rev +20% YoY · PAT +17% YoY

Filed 09 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹724 Cr+20.3%+1.0%
EBITDA₹161 Cr+20.1%-1.2%
Operating margin22.0%+0 bps-100 bps
PAT₹120 Cr+16.5%+0.8%
PAT margin16.6%-54 bps-3 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-04T08:38:12.578Z
Management commentary snapshot

Affle 3i reported robust Q4 FY26 results with revenue up 20.3% YoY and PAT up 16.0% YoY. Full-year FY26 saw revenue grow 19.5% and PAT 19.1% YoY, driven by strong CPCU conversions and broad-based growth across markets.

The company continues to demonstrate strong top-line growth and profitability, supported by its CPCU model and AI-led solutions. However, the significant increase in inventory and data costs, outpacing revenue growth, warrants close monitoring for potential margin pressure despite stable EBITDA margins in Q4 FY26.

Current business mix

Revenue Split by Geography (Q4 FY2026)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
India & Emerging Markets71.6%
Developed Markets28.4%
Growth engines

AI-led Solutions

Company leverages Authentic, Actionable and Augmented Intelligence (Affle AI) for digital advertising and operational productivity.

CPCU Business Model

99.2% of FY2026 revenue from contracts with customers contributed by the ROI-driven Cost Per Converted User (CPCU) model.

Verticalized Focus

Verticalized approach within fast-growing resilient industry segments (E, F, G, H Categories) driving 100% of revenue from direct customers.

Global Reach

Global reach across key regions including Asia, North America, South America, Europe, and Africa, encompassing developed and emerging markets.

Tailwinds

Digital Advertising Growth

The company operates in the digital advertising sector, which benefits from increasing digital consumption and brand spending.

Privacy-First Solutions

Affle's proprietary AI tech stack leverages privacy-first predictive intelligence to identify quality shoppers at scale, as demonstrated with Instacart.

Headwinds

Rising Inventory and Data Costs

Inventory and Data Costs increased by 25.6% YoY in Q4 FY26 and 21.8% YoY in FY26, outpacing revenue growth.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Nov 2025
Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Both YoY and QoQ comparisons are relevant. YoY reflects the underlying growth trend in a business that may have seasonal variations, while QoQ provides insight into sequential momentum and operational execution.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Q4 FY26 Number of Conversions

120.3 million, up from 88.4 million in Q4 FY25 (+36.2% YoY).

Q4 FY26 Average CPCU

INR 60.0, up from INR 57.8 in Q4 FY25 (+3.8% YoY).

Q4 FY26 CPCU Revenue

INR 7,217 million, up from INR 6,007 million in Q4 FY25 (+20.1% YoY).

FY26 Number of Conversions

456.0 million, up from 392.8 million in FY25 (+16.1% YoY).

Management forward view

10x Decadal Growth Vision

Management's vision is to power 10x decadal growth by maximizing measurable business outcomes and driving real-world impact.

AI-driven Innovation

Focus on leveraging Affle AI, AI agents for operational productivity, and AI-driven hyper-contextual creative generation.

Platform & Product Leadership

Committed to leading with platform and product innovation to power the connected ecosystem.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Inventory and Data Costs GrowthIncreased 25.6% YoY in Q4 FY26.Whether cost growth continues to outpace revenue growth, impacting gross margins.
EBITDA Margin22.3% in Q4 FY26 (vs 22.2% in Q4 FY25) and 22.5% in FY26 (vs 21.3% in FY25).Sustained stability or improvement in EBITDA margins despite rising input costs.
Number of Conversions Growth120.3 million in Q4 FY26 (+36.2% YoY).Continued strong growth in conversions, indicating demand for the CPCU model.
Average CPCU TrendINR 60.0 in Q4 FY26 (+3.8% YoY).Ability to maintain or increase average CPCU, reflecting pricing power and value delivery.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Show extracted source claims
revenue outlookdeliveredquantified

Affle aims to deliver 10X decadal growth as part of its Affle 3i vision.

Timeframe: Decadal (next 10 years)Direction: Increase

"goal to deliver 10X decadal growth"

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 19.7% across 2 later quarter(s).

demand outlookdelivered

The festive quarter (Q3) in developed markets should be stronger than what was seen in Q2.

Timeframe: Q3Direction: IncreaseConfidence: Should be stronger

"The festive quarter in developed markets should be stronger than what we have seen in Q2."

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 19.7% across 2 later quarter(s).

revenue outlookcontradicted

Affle expects to drive sustainable growth through FY2026 and beyond, supported by disciplined financial management and robust operating cash flows.

Timeframe: FY2026 and beyondDirection: IncreaseConfidence: Strong foundation

"driving sustainable growth through FY2026 and beyond"

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 19.7% across 2 later quarter(s).

revenue outlookdelivered

Affle is fairly confident of having a reasonably good quarter in Q3, given the pipeline of budgets for the festive quarter.

Timeframe: Q3Direction: IncreaseConfidence: Fairly confident

"fairly confident that we should have a reasonably good quarter in Q3"

Outcome check: Revenue YoY averaged 19.7% across 2 later quarter(s).

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

44Neutral

SMA20 -7.4% / mo

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS: 48
Sector 3M: -0.2% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

AFFLEdaily · 6M-8.0%
Latest close ₹1502.20 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+0.4%
RSI
56
MACD hist
1.56
52W pos
43%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹1.2k₹1.4k₹1.5k₹1.7k₹1.9k52H52L2025-122026-03Vol2025-122026-012026-032026-042026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bullish setup

Trend is constructive — long-term trend unclear. RSI 56.

  • SMA20 rising (~1.0% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 56 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 18% off 52W high · 20% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

46U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation2/30
Growth17/25
Quality7/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
46

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

46/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 11/15 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 17/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -29.4%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 2/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 7/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
46.4
PB
5.8
EV/EBITDA
28.8
ROE
13.8%
ROCE
16.8%
FCF Yield
0.6%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-29.4%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
46
Previous: 46
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-29.4%
Previous: -28.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
47
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46
46

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
73Healthy Trust · medium confidenceClaim-tested Trust

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Management has 75% delivered/partly-delivered outcomes on 4 checked claims, with 1 adverse claim outcome. It ranks around the 73rd percentile of the scored universe and 67th percentile within IT. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

Healthy Trust: 4/4 extracted management claims have outcome checks; 75% were fully delivered and 0 were partially delivered. 1 claim(s) were contradicted or failed.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
69 concalls · 4/4 claims matched
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
73rd percentile

overall median 67 · IT: 67th pctile, median 68 · Small: 77th pctile, median 65

Evidence depth
Early sample

4/4 claims checked. Use as directional, not final.

Claim delivery
75% delivered or partly delivered

4/4 claims checked · 1 contradicted/failed claim

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · medium confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using management claims matched with later outcomes.
Confidence
Useful directional evidence exists, but still verify the latest filings.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
68
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
95
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 0.6%.
  • 4 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.00.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹433.92
-246.9% MoS
DCF Fair PE
36.0
DCF Fair Value
₹1,163.16
-29.4% MoS
PEG
1.78

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
46.40
P/B
5.80
EV/EBITDA
28.77
Market Cap
21102.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
13.80%
ROCE
16.80%
ROA
10.29%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
39.00%
EPS 5Y
28.00%
Revenue 3Y
24.00%
EPS 3Y
23.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.00
Interest Coverage
122.00×
Altman Z
8.51
Book Value
259.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
0.61%
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
502.00 Cr
EPS TTM
32.31

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
54.92%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
27%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.