IP
IndiaPulse

AMBUJACEM

Large Cap

Ambuja Cements Limited

Industrials

Ambuja Cements is the ninth largest global building material solutions company, part of the diversified Adani Portfolio. It operates in the Indian cement sector, focusing on manufacturing and selling cement and related products.

₹416
+0.70 · +0.17%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
52

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
72

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
45

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
72

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Good · 57/100

Rev +9% YoY · PAT +37% YoY · +6% QoQ · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 04 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹10,915 Cr+9.4%+6.2%
EBITDA₹1,464 Cr-21.6%+8.2%
Operating margin13.0%-600 bps+0 bps
PAT₹1,857 Cr+37.5%+360.8%
PAT margin17.0%+347 bps+1309 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T16:23:19.151Z
Management commentary snapshot

Ambuja Cements reported highest ever annual sales volume of 73.7 MT (+16% YoY) and EBITDA of INR 6,539 crores (+31% YoY) for FY26. However, Q4 FY26 saw higher costs and muted volume growth, with acquired assets underperforming expectations.

The thesis is under stress due to significant cost overruns in FY26, particularly in Q4, and delays in turnaround of acquired assets. While management projects cost improvements and volume growth for FY27, the ability to execute on these internal factors amidst a soft industry demand and pricing pressure remains a key concern.

Growth engines

Premiumization Strategy

null

Premium cement accounted for 35% of trade sales during FY26, reflecting sustained progress. Q4 premium cement sales were 36% of trade sales.

Capacity Expansion

null

Cement capacity increased to 109 MT in FY26, with a target of 119 MT by end of FY27 through ongoing additions.

Acquired Asset Integration

null

Successful amalgamation of Sanghi Industries and Penna Cement completed, with ACC and Orient Cement under process, forming 'One Cement platform'.

Cost Optimization from Green Energy

null

Green power share increased to 32% in Q4, expected to contribute to INR 150-200 savings along with raw material costs.

Capacity and execution

FY26 Grinding Capacity Additions

null

Commissioned 10.7 million tonnes of new grinding capacity at Marwar, Farakka, Sankrail, Sindri, and Krishnapatnam.

FY26 Clinker Capacity Additions

null

Added clinker capacity of 7 million tonnes at Jodhpur and Bhatapara.

FY27 Grinding Capacity Target

null

Expecting to hit capacity of almost 119 million tonnes by end of FY27 with proposed ongoing additions of 10 million tonnes of GU.

Future Clinker Projects

null

Won a limestone block in Assam and planning a new clinker line in Mundra, both new territories/projects.

Tailwinds

Industry Consolidation & Reforms

null

FY26 was marked by industry consolidation and GST 2.0 reforms, which can lead to a more structured market.

Infrastructure Growth

null

India's long-term infrastructure story remains fundamentally very strong and secular.

Cost Savings Potential

null

INR 150 to INR 200 savings expected from raw material cost (fly ash) and green energy utilization.

Headwinds

Soft Demand & Pricing Pressure

null

Cement demand is expected to remain a little soft in FY27 due to inflationary pressure and weak monsoon. Industry is under relentless pressure and not able to pass on price increases.

Higher Operating Costs

null

Higher freight, packing, and fuel costs, along with increased additional goods tax in some states, led to cost escalation in Q4 FY26.

Acquired Asset Underperformance

null

Newly acquired assets, particularly Sanghi and Penna, witnessed lower utilization levels and required higher than expected time/capex for maintenance and upkeep.

Efficiency Capex Delays

null

There is a 3 to 6 months delay on some of the efficiency capexes, impacting cost improvement timelines.

Risk radar

Execution Risk on Acquired Assets

null

Turnaround initiatives for Sanghi and Penna took longer than expected, and these assets still require significant effort to reach desired utilization and cost efficiency levels.

Inability to Pass on Costs

null

Despite cost increases, the industry is under relentless pressure and unable to pass on price hikes, potentially impacting margins.

Global Geopolitical & Economic Volatility

null

Ongoing global geopolitical situations, energy costs, and expected hikes in fuel/diesel make long-term cost estimates difficult and could lead to further cost escalations.

Delayed Infrastructure for Raw Materials

null

Pending railway infrastructure has prevented the company from optimizing raw material costs, specifically for fly ash.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is useful for assessing overall annual growth and financial performance, especially for a seasonal business. However, QoQ is crucial for tracking sequential momentum, cost trends, and the integration progress of recently acquired assets, which significantly impact comparability for full-year figures.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Annual Sales Volume

null

Achieved highest ever annual sales volume of 73.7 million tonnes, up 16% Y-on-Y in FY26.

EBITDA per Metric Ton

null

Normalized EBITDA of INR 887 per metric ton (PMT) for FY26, up 12% Y-on-Y.

Cement Capacity

null

Company's cement capacity increased to 109 million tonnes in FY26.

Acquired Asset Utilization (Sanghi)

null

Sanghi Industries utilization remains at around 57% on cement capacity.

Management forward view

FY27 Strategic Focus

null

Focus firmly remains on streamlining operations, margin expansion, increasing trade sales, and premium product sales.

Acquired Asset Improvement

null

Target to increase utilization of Sanghi and Penna (19 MT combined capacity) by at least 5% to 10%.

Calibrated Capex Approach

null

Recalibrating capacity expansion plans to first optimize current capacities and take advantage of railway policies on bulk cement terminals, ensuring disciplined capital allocation.

Commitment to Internal Execution

null

Management is hyper-focused on improving performance gaps, stating that FY27 guidance is 100% controllable by internal execution.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Cost per TonneINR 4,500/tonne (Q4 FY26 peak)Progressive improvement and achievement of INR 150-200 savings from fly ash and green energy in coming quarters.
Acquired Asset UtilizationSanghi ~57%, Penna ~46%Increase in utilization by 5-10% for these assets, indicating successful turnaround and integration.
FY27 Volume GrowthTarget 8% growth to 80 million tonnesAchievement of volume targets, especially given the anticipated soft industry demand of 5-5.5%.
Capacity Commissioning & Stabilization10 MT GU additions by end FY27Timely commissioning and stabilization of new grinding capacities, contributing to volume ramp-up.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

45Neutral

SMA20 -14.3% / mo · near 52W low

Stock trend: 41
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

AMBUJACEMweekly · 3Y-26.4%
Latest close ₹416.00 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+0.2%
RSI
34
MACD hist
1.52
52W pos
10%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹383₹445₹507₹568₹63052H52L2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2024-112025-042025-102026-032026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend unclear. RSI 34.

  • SMA20 falling (~16.7% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 34 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 33% off 52W high · 6% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

52U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation15/30
Growth14/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet13/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
52

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

52/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 51.7%.
  • Balance sheet contributes 13/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 4/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 15/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
20.6
PB
1.7
EV/EBITDA
10.3
ROE
8.8%
ROCE
5.6%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
+51.7%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
52
Previous: 52
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+51.7%
Previous: +52.2%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
51
50
51
51
51
51
52
52
52
52
52
52

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
72Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 70th percentile of the scored universe and 68th percentile within Industrials. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 38/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 67.3%. Key concern: ROCE is low at 5.6%.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
144 docs indexed · 38 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
70th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 68th pctile, median 68 · Large: 47th pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

144 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
38
weak · capital discipline
Results
72
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 67.3%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 7 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.01.

Trust risks

  • ROCE is low at 5.6%.
  • ROCE trend is -4.4%.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹321.41
-29.4% MoS
DCF Fair PE
45.0
DCF Fair Value
₹860.85
+51.7% MoS
PEG
1.18

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
20.60
P/B
1.73
EV/EBITDA
10.26
Market Cap
103194.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
8.85%
ROCE
5.61%
ROA
6.29%
Dividend Y
0.48%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
11.00%
EPS 5Y
15.00%
Revenue 3Y
1.00%
EPS 3Y
21.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.01
Interest Coverage
29.36×
Altman Z
3.90
Book Value
240.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
5362.00 Cr
EPS TTM
19.13

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
67.33%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
9%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 35.3k+6.6% vs prev
039kDec 2015: 9,437Dec 2016: 20.1kDec 2017: 23.6kDec 2018: 26.0kDec 2019: 27.1kDec 2020: 24.5kDec 2021: 29.0kMar 2023: 38.9kMar 2024: 33.2kMar 2025: 35.3kQ3 15Q3 16Q3 17Q3 18Q3 19Q3 20Q3 21FY23FY24FY25

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 5,637+6.5% vs prev
05637Dec 2015: 808Dec 2016: 1,434Dec 2017: 2,973Dec 2018: 2,783Dec 2019: 3,107Dec 2020: 3,711Dec 2021: 3,024Mar 2023: 4,735Mar 2024: 5,294Mar 2025: 5,637Q3 15Q3 16Q3 17Q3 18Q3 19Q3 20Q3 21FY23FY24FY25

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 10.5-17.6% vs prev
016.3Dec 2015: 7.9%Dec 2016: 7.2%Dec 2017: 14.4%Dec 2018: 12.4%Dec 2019: 12.9%Dec 2020: 16.3%Dec 2021: 11.9%Mar 2023: 14.9%Mar 2024: 12.8%Mar 2025: 10.5%Q3 15Q3 16Q3 17Q3 18Q3 19Q3 20Q3 21FY23FY24FY25
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.