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IndiaPulse

CHAMBLFERT

Small Cap

Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited

Industrials

Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (CFCL) is India's largest private-sector Urea manufacturer with 3.4 MMTPA capacity across three energy-efficient plants in Rajasthan. It offers a single-window agri-solution, marketing complex fertilizers, crop protection chemicals, speciality nutrients, biologicals, and seeds. CFCL is commissioning a 2.4 Lakh MTPA Technical Ammonium Nitrate (TAN) plant.

₹454.75
+6.05 · +1.35%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Strong fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Candidate for deeper work
Valuation is strong. Wait for stronger Trust evidence before treating this as high conviction.
U-Score
DEEP VALUE
78

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
83

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
56

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
87

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Good · 70/100

Rev +14% YoY · PAT +30% YoY · margin expansion · operating leverage

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹2,785 Cr+13.7%-52.8%
EBITDA₹255 Cr+56.4%-68.9%
Operating margin9.0%+200 bps-500 bps
PAT₹169 Cr+30.0%-71.2%
PAT margin6.1%+76 bps-387 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-04T22:09:26.787Z
Management commentary snapshot

FY26 consolidated operational income grew 25% YoY to INR 207,937 Mn, with net profit up 18% YoY to INR 19,533 Mn. Q4-FY26 saw strong YoY growth: operational income +14%, EBITDA +56%, and net profit +30%, though QoQ performance declined significantly due to seasonality.

The company delivered robust FY26 and Q4-FY26 YoY growth in revenue and profit, driven by non-urea segments and new product launches. However, FY26 margins compressed, and trade receivables surged. The TAN plant commissioning is a key diversification, but its ramp-up and impact on financials need close monitoring.

Current business mix

FY26 Segment wise Revenue Split

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Urea60.0%
Complex Fertilisers34.0%
Crop Protection Chemicals, Speciality Nutrients and Seeds6.0%
Growth engines

Non-Urea Agri-Inputs

Crop Protection Chemicals and Speciality Nutrients saw 27% YoY contribution growth in FY26, with 17 new products launched and 15 in pipeline for FY27.

Biologicals Segment

Biologicals revenue increased 57% in FY26, with volume up 30%. 'UTTAM PRANAAM' contribution grew 172% in FY26, covering 3 million acres.

Technical Ammonium Nitrate (TAN)

Commissioning of the 2.4 Lakh MTPA TAN plant is in progress, diversifying into industrial and mining chemicals with a project cost of INR 16,450 Mn.

Capacity and execution

TAN Plant Commissioning

The Technical Ammonium Nitrate (TAN) plant, with a capacity of 2.4 Lakh MTPA and project cost of INR 16,450 Mn, is currently in the commissioning phase.

WNA Plant Dry Run

Dry run of the Weak Nitric Acid (WNA) plant, part of the TAN complex, has commenced, to be followed by Ammonium Nitrate Solution Melt and HDAN Solid production.

Tailwinds

Government Initiatives

The TAN initiative aligns with India's 'Aatmanirbhar Bharat' vision, supporting energy security and critical sectors like mining and infrastructure.

Agri-Input Demand

Stable demand for urea tied to agricultural cycles and policy pricing, complemented by demand for phosphatic and potassic fertilizers.

Headwinds

Urea Plant Stoppage

Urea volumes were lower in FY26 mainly due to an unscheduled stoppage of one Urea Plant during the year.

Margin Compression

FY26 consolidated EBITDA and PAT margins declined YoY despite revenue growth, indicating cost pressures or changes in product mix.

Risk radar

Regulatory Environment

Urea is a highly regulated product, making the business susceptible to policy changes and pricing controls.

Receivables Management

A significant increase in standalone trade receivables to INR 20,752 Mn in FY26 from INR 3,679 Mn in FY25 raises concerns about working capital efficiency.

Project Execution Risk

Successful commissioning and ramp-up of the new TAN plant, a large-scale project, is critical for realizing diversification benefits.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing annual performance and seasonal business trends in fertilizers. QoQ is important to track sequential momentum, especially given the significant decline in Q4-FY26 consolidated results from Q3-FY26.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

EBITDA Margins

FY26 consolidated EBITDA margin was 12.88% (vs 14.92% in FY25), a 14% decline. Q4-FY26 margin was 9.16% (vs 6.67% in Q4-FY25), a 37% increase.

PAT Margins

FY26 consolidated PAT margin was 9.39% (vs 9.91% in FY25), a 5% decline. Q4-FY26 margin was 6.08% (vs 5.32% in Q4-FY25), a 14% increase.

Working Capital Days

Working Capital Days improved to 51 in FY26 from 57 in FY25.

Trade Receivables

Standalone Trade Receivables increased significantly to INR 20,752 Mn in FY26 from INR 3,679 Mn in FY25.

Management forward view

TAN Plant Commissioning

Activities for commissioning the Technical Ammonium Nitrate plant are in progress, with dry run of WNA plant started.

New Product Pipeline

14 new Crop Protection Chemicals and 1 Speciality Nutrient product are in the pipeline for launch in FY27.

Research & Development

MOU signed for CFCL-TERI Centre of Excellence to develop 10 novel & patented products in Crop Protection and Crop Nutrition over five years.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
TAN Plant Ramp-upDry run of WNA plant started.Production of ANS Melt and HDAN Solid, and commercial sales.
Receivables TrendStandalone Trade Receivables at INR 20,752 Mn; Subsidy Debtors at INR 19,794 Mn.Reduction in receivables days and improved collection efficiency.
Non-Urea Growth27% YoY contribution growth in CPC/SN; 57% YoY revenue growth in Biologicals.Sustained growth rates and successful new product launches in these segments.
Overall MarginsFY26 EBITDA margin 12.88% (down 14% YoY); PAT margin 9.39% (down 5% YoY).Reversal of margin compression trends in subsequent quarters.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

56Neutral

SMA20 +3.5% / mo

Stock trend: 59
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

CHAMBLFERTdaily · 5Y-2.0%
Latest close ₹454.75 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+0.9%
RSI
49
MACD hist
-1.58
52W pos
63%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹395₹419₹443₹467₹49152H52L2025-122026-03Vol2025-112026-012026-022026-042026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 49. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 rising (~2.2% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 49 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 7% off 52W high · 14% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

78U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

DEEP VALUE
Valuation28/30
Growth13/25
Quality14/20
Balance Sheet14/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
78

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

78/100 · DEEP VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 51.2%.
  • Valuation contributes 28/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Cash flow is weaker at 4/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 13/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 14/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
9.2
PB
1.7
EV/EBITDA
6.3
ROE
20.4%
ROCE
25.5%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.1
MoS
+51.2%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Current PE is low at 9.2, so peak-cycle earnings risk should be checked.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
78
Previous: 78
Verdict
DEEP VALUE
Previous: DEEP VALUE
Margin of safety
+51.2%
Previous: +51.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +2 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
82
80
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
78

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
83Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 96th percentile of the scored universe and 96th percentile within Industrials. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 61.3%.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
138 docs indexed · 50 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
96th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 96th pctile, median 68 · Small: 98th pctile, median 65

Evidence depth
Financial-only

138 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
82
strong · capital discipline
Results
87
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 61.3%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 7 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.10.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹534.08
+14.9% MoS
DCF Fair PE
19.1
DCF Fair Value
₹931.8
+51.2% MoS
PEG
0.82

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
9.20
P/B
1.73
EV/EBITDA
6.29
Market Cap
17977.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
20.40%
ROCE
25.50%
ROA
11.45%
Dividend Y
2.23%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
10.00%
EPS 5Y
7.00%
Revenue 3Y
-9.00%
EPS 3Y
25.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.10
Interest Coverage
382.57×
Altman Z
5.99
Book Value
260.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
138.00 Cr
EPS TTM
48.76

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
61.25%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
27%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 16.2k-42.3% vs prev
028kMar 2026: 21.0kMar 2025: 17.0kMar 2024: 18.4kMar 2023: 28.0kMar 2022: 16.2kFY26FY25FY24FY23FY22

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.