IP
IndiaPulse

DBREALTY

Micro Cap

Valor Estate Limited

Real Estate

India’s largest listed land-backed real estate platform, an undisputed leader in brownfield land development in MMR. Focuses on land aggregation, entitlement, and monetization through strategic partnerships, aiming for capital-efficient, multi-segmented value creation from its 513+ acres land bank.

₹112.35
+2.37 · +2.15%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
31

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Weak Trust
50

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
52

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
43

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Bad · 0/100

Rev -84% YoY · margin compression

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹87 Cr-83.8%-83.5%
EBITDA₹-79 Cr-243.5%-187.8%
Operating margin-91.0%-8700 bps-10800 bps
PAT₹-59 CrNDF-195.2%
PAT margin-67.8%-6745 bps-7954 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-08T08:09:55.854Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q1 FY26 revenue from operations surged to INR 840.33 Crores, primarily driven by INR ~836.36 Crores from 'TEN BKC' revenue recognition. Company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21:1 and received INR 700 Crores project advance for Malad East (PAP).

Valor Estate's Q1 FY26 results show strong revenue recognition from TEN BKC and significant project advance for Malad East, validating its land monetization strategy. The demerger of the hospitality business is a strategic move to enhance focus. The extensive land bank and project pipeline support future growth, though execution timelines remain key.

Current business mix

GDV (VEL share) by Segment (Ongoing + Upcoming + Future)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Residential83.1%
Commercial & Retail (Saleable)16.9%
Growth engines

Extensive Land Bank

513+ acres of owned land bank in MMR and Lonavala, positioned for multi-generational value creation.

Strategic Partnerships

Execution via JDA, JV, DM with leading developers like Adani Realty, Macrotech (Lodha), Godrej Properties, L&T Realty, Prestige Estate.

Capital-Efficient Model

Low capital & minimal risk model, with initial land incubation capital of INR 50-100 Cr per asset and scaled investment post-viability.

Multi-Segment Monetization

Replicable strategy spanning residential (INR 28,350+ Cr GDV) and commercial/retail (INR 2,180+ Cr annuity, INR 5,760+ Cr saleable GDV).

Capacity and execution

Upcoming Residential Projects

6 projects with ~17.8 msf total saleable area and combined GDV of ~INR 37,680 Cr in planning/design stage.

Forthcoming Residential Projects

6 projects in pipeline with ~6.8 msf total saleable area and combined GDV of ~INR 11,700 Cr.

Upcoming Commercial Annuity Projects

2 projects (BKC 101, The Prestige Mahalaxmi) with 5.2 msf total leasable area, expected completion FY28-29.

Upcoming Saleable Commercial Projects

2 projects (Codename Bandra West, LIG BKC) with 6.4 msf total saleable area and GDV of INR 5,768+ Cr.

Tailwinds

Coastal Road Completion

Mira Road land parcel (247 acres) positioned for high-tech township development post Coastal North Road completion, reducing travel time significantly.

Demerger of Hospitality Business

Strategic separation allows Valor Estate to focus on core real estate competencies, enhancing operational efficiency.

Risk radar

Project Execution Timelines

Forward-looking statements acknowledge risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from projections.

Regulatory & Approval Complexities

Niche expertise in land aggregation and unlocking complexities implies inherent challenges in obtaining clear entitled land and approvals.

Market Dynamics & Realization

Expected monetization periods and GDV are based on current business plans, subject to change on account of market dynamics.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

QoQ comparison is relevant for sequential momentum in project execution and revenue recognition, as seen with TEN BKC. YoY is crucial for assessing underlying business growth and comparing against seasonal or annual project cycles in real estate.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue from Operations

INR 840.33 Crores in Q1 FY26 vs INR 6.79 Crores in Q1 FY25 and INR 537.09 Crores in Q4 FY25.

EBITDA

INR 45.31 Crores in Q1 FY26 vs INR 5.13 Crores in Q1 FY25 and (INR 7.79) Crores in Q4 FY25.

PBT

INR 26.55 Crores in Q1 FY26 vs (INR 10.18) Crores in Q1 FY25 and (INR 20.76) Crores in Q4 FY25.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.21:1 in Q1 FY26, stated as one of the lowest in the real estate sector.

Management forward view

Focus on Core Competencies

Demerger of hospitality business allows Valor Estate to focus on residential, commercial (incl retail) segments leveraging its land bank.

Long-Term Value Creation

Owned land bank positioned for multi-generational value creation, optimizing land assets for sustainable cash flows.

Strategic Land Monetization

Providing clear entitled land to Tier 1 developers, ensuring cost-effective & risk-mitigated execution.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
TEN BKC Balance Revenue RecognitionINR ~836.36 Crores recognized in Q1 FY26.Recognition of balance ~INR 800 Crores.
Malad East Project AdvanceINR 700 Crores received.Further progress on the project and utilization of the credit note for 13,347 tenements.
AHIPL Trading CommencementFinal NCLT hearing completed on June 6, 2025.Trading commencement of Advent International Hotels (AHIPL) in Sep 2025.
Mira Road Land Parcel DevelopmentLand lease rental for casting yard till 2029.Commencement of integrated hi-tech township development post Coastal North Road completion.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

52Neutral

SMA20 +1.6% / mo

Stock trend: 52
Sector RS:

Technical chart

DBREALTYweekly · 5Y-32.9%
Latest close ₹111.29 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-2.4%
RSI
46
MACD hist
0.61
52W pos
17%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹75₹120₹165₹210₹25552H52L2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2024-112025-042025-102026-032026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Neutral

Trend is undirectional — long-term trend unclear. RSI 46.

  • SMA20 rising (~1.6% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 46 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 55% off 52W high · 33% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

31U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation3/30
Growth13/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet4/15
Cash Flow8/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
31

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

31/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 10.1%.
  • Cash flow contributes 8/10 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 13/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Promoter pledge is 44.7%.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -624.4%.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Real estate valuation: NAV, pre-sales, debt, and inventory quality

Real estate valuation depends more on project economics and balance sheet than simple PE.

Real Estate NAV
Primary lens
NAV and market cap versus project pipeline and pre-sales.
Secondary checks
Inventory age, net debt, collections, execution record.
Main risk check
Book value can overstate value if inventory is slow or debt is high.
PE
PB
1.5
EV/EBITDA
216.4
ROE
-0.2%
ROCE
1.6%
FCF Yield
10.1%
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
-624.4%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
31
Previous: 31
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-624.4%
Previous: -607.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
25
25
27
27
27
27
27
27
27
31
31
31

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
50Weak Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Weak Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 6th percentile of the scored universe and 10th percentile within Real Estate. Main check: promoter alignment is weak at 35/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: 5 years of positive FCF. Key concern: Promoters have pledged 44.7% of holding.

Computed 22 May 2026
trust-lite-v1
0 docs indexed · 0 concall links
Score band
Weak Trust

Management or financial behaviour needs caution. Demand stronger valuation compensation.

Relative rank
6th percentile

overall median 67 · Real Estate: 10th pctile, median 61 · Micro: 4th pctile, median 71

Evidence depth
Financial-only

0 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Weak Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
35
weak · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
59
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
38
weak · capital discipline
Results
43
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • 5 years of positive FCF.
  • 7/8 recent quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Promoters have pledged 44.7% of holding.
  • 2 recent quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • Interest coverage is 0.9x.
  • ROCE is low at -1.4%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹28.24
-297.9% MoS
DCF Fair PE
33.0
DCF Fair Value
₹15.51
-624.4% MoS
PEG

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
P/B
1.46
EV/EBITDA
216.45
Market Cap
5963.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
-0.19%
ROCE
1.55%
ROA
0.42%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
130.00%
EPS 5Y
15.00%
Revenue 3Y
32.00%
EPS 3Y
26.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.18
Interest Coverage
0.25×
Altman Z
2.85
Book Value
75.40

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
10.11%
FCF Positive Y
5/5
OCF
939.00 Cr
EPS TTM
0.47

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
47.17%
Promoter Pledge
44.70%
Momentum 52W
20%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 1,593+40.6% vs prev
01593Mar 2017: 141Mar 2018: 120Mar 2019: 365Mar 2020: 169Mar 2021: 25.0Mar 2022: 219Mar 2023: 698Mar 2024: 357Mar 2025: 1,133Mar 2026: 1,593FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 27.0+122.9% vs prev
-440.001317Mar 2017: -74.0Mar 2018: -301Mar 2019: -247Mar 2020: -440Mar 2021: -167Mar 2022: 22.0Mar 2023: -90.0Mar 2024: 1,317Mar 2025: -118Mar 2026: 27.0FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 5.0+272.3% vs prev
-32.9026.9Mar 2017: -2.7%Mar 2018: -12.0%Mar 2019: -15.9%Mar 2020: -32.9%Mar 2021: -8.9%Mar 2022: 1.1%Mar 2023: -1.9%Mar 2024: 26.9%Mar 2025: -2.9%Mar 2026: 5.0%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.