IP
IndiaPulse

HDBFS

Large Cap

HDB Financial Services Limited

Financial Services

HDBFS, an RBI-licensed 'Upper Layer' NBFC and HDFC Bank subsidiary, offers enterprise, asset, and consumer finance. It operates 1,730 branches across 1,161 cities, focusing on underbanked customers with a granular, seasoned loan book and strong credit ratings (CARE AAA, CRISIL AAA).

₹629
+2.00 · +0.32%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust needs verification, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
29

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Weak Trust
51

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
42

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
67

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Good · 65/100

Rev +11% YoY · PAT +41% YoY · operating leverage

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹4,745 Cr+11.2%+1.5%
EBITDANDFNDFNDF
Operating marginNDFNDFNDF
PAT₹751 Cr+41.4%+16.6%
PAT margin15.8%+338 bps+205 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T17:39:14.541Z
Management commentary snapshot

HDBFS reported strong Q4 FY26 results with PAT up 41.4% YoY to INR 751 Cr, driven by robust NII growth of 21.6% YoY and expanding NIMs. Gross Loan Book grew 10.9% YoY to INR 1,18,493 Cr, while asset quality improved sequentially with GNPA at 2.44%.

The company demonstrated sustained growth in its loan book and profitability, coupled with sequential improvement in asset quality. Expanding NIMs and controlled operating costs indicate operational efficiency. The diversified loan book and strong capital position support continued growth, reinforcing the investment thesis.

Current business mix

Gross Loan Book Mix by Business Vertical (Mar-26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 3 reported categories.

Businessmix
Enterprise Lending38.0%
Asset Finance38.0%
Consumer Finance24.0%
Growth engines

Customer Franchise Expansion

Customer franchise grew to 22.9 million, an increase of 4.3% QoQ and 19.7% Y-o-Y, primarily catering to underserved and underbanked customers.

Pan-India Distribution Network

Network of 1,730 branches spread across 1,161 cities and towns, with 71% of branches located in Tier 4 & Beyond towns, focusing on expansion in Tier-2+ markets.

Diversified Product Portfolio

Product portfolio serving multiple credit needs across Enterprise Lending, Asset Finance, and Consumer Finance, leading to a granular and well-seasoned loan book.

Digital & AI Capabilities

Leveraging technology stack and AI-powered initiatives like 'HDB OnTheGo' app and AI bots for early bucket collections, improving efficiency and asset quality.

Capacity and execution

Branch Network Expansion

Branch count stood at 1,730 across 1,161 cities and towns as of March 31, 2026, indicating continued physical presence expansion.

Tailwinds

Improved Collection Efficiency via AI

AI-powered bot calling and AI-led quality checks resulted in collection efficiency up by 25bps for early buckets in 4QFY26, supporting portfolio growth.

Risk radar

Credit Risk

Manage risks by defining target markets and underwriting criteria for every product, providing loans only to eligible customers passing minimum credit parameters.

Liquidity Risk

Asset Liability Committee reviews NIMs, maturity profile, and ALM, ensuring compliance with regulatory LCRs and positive cumulative mismatch across all time-buckets.

Interest Rate Risk

Manage risks by performing Gap Analysis to measure interest rate risk exposure to NII, tailoring advances book and funding strategy to offset repricing of borrowings.

Technology & Information Security Risk

Manage risks via Disaster Recovery and Business Continuity Plans, rigorous testing, robust internal policies, and protection against phishing through anti-spam/malware solutions.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Both YoY and QoQ comparisons are crucial for NBFCs. YoY highlights long-term growth trends and seasonal impacts, while QoQ reveals sequential momentum in disbursements, asset quality shifts, and immediate operational efficiency changes.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Gross Loan Book Growth

Gross loan book as on March 31, 2026 stood at ₹1,18,493 crores, growing 3.4% sequentially and 10.9% Y-o-Y.

Disbursements Growth

Disbursements for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 was ₹19,922 crores, up by 11.2% sequentially and by 12.9% YoY.

Net Interest Margin (NIM)

Net Interest Margin for Q4FY26 was at 8.23% vs 8.09% in Q3FY26 & 7.55% in Q4FY25; FY26 NIM was 7.96% vs 7.56% in FY25.

Cost of Borrowings

Cost of Borrowings (quarterly annualized) was 6.9% in Mar-26, down from 7.3% in Dec-25 and 7.5% in Mar-25.

Management forward view

Prudent, Purposeful, Resilient Growth

Management is focused on prudent, purposeful, resilient growth rooted in values, with best-in-class governance practices embedded through pedigreed parentage.

Serving Aspirational India

The company aims to serve 'Aspirational India' by lending to underbanked and underserved customers, leveraging its long operating track record and understanding of customer behavior.

Expansion in Tier-2+ Markets

Pan India presence with focus on expansion in Tier-2+ markets, with over 80% of branches outside 20 largest cities in India.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Gross Loan Book Growth10.9% YoY (Q4FY26)Sustained double-digit growth, particularly in secured loan segments, indicating healthy demand and effective market penetration.
Net Interest Margin (NIM)8.23% (Q4FY26)Maintenance or further expansion of NIMs, reflecting effective asset-liability management and favorable borrowing costs amidst competitive pressures.
Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA)2.44% (Q4FY26)Continued sequential improvement or stability in asset quality, especially given the focus on underbanked segments and potential macro volatility.
Credit Cost to Avg. Gross Loans2.3% (Q4FY26)Stability or reduction in credit costs, indicating effective risk management and portfolio performance, without compromising growth.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

42Neutral

SMA20 -7.2% / mo

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS:

Technical chart

HDBFSdaily · 5Y-14.3%
Latest close ₹627.30 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-0.7%
RSI
33
MACD hist
-5.51
52W pos
30%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹543₹610₹676₹742₹80952H52L2025-122026-03Vol2025-112026-012026-022026-042026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend unclear. RSI 33.

  • SMA20 falling (~1.8% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 33 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 21% off 52W high · 13% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

29U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation9/30
Growth14/25
Quality5/20
Balance Sheet0/15
Cash Flow0/10
Piotroski
3/9 (+1)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
29

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

29/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 37.8%.
  • Growth contributes 14/25 to the score.
  • Valuation contributes 9/30 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 0.6, in distress territory.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 0/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 0/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
20.5
PB
2.5
EV/EBITDA
724.0
ROE
13.9%
ROCE
9.1%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
4.8
MoS
+37.8%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
29
Previous: 29
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
+37.8%
Previous: +38.0%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +5 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
29
29
23
23
29
29
24
24
24
24
24
29

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
51Weak Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Weak Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 8th percentile of the scored universe and 16th percentile within Financial Services. Main check: balance sheet trust is weak at 22/100.

Mixed Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 74.1%. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-8606 Cr.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
26 docs indexed · 10 concall links
Score band
Weak Trust

Management or financial behaviour needs caution. Demand stronger valuation compensation.

Relative rank
8th percentile

overall median 67 · Financial Services: 16th pctile, median 62 · Large: 5th pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

26 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Weak Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Needs extra due diligence; demand valuation comfort and recent improvement.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
28
weak · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
22
weak · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
67
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 74.1%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-8606 Cr.
  • Debt/equity is 4.80.
  • Altman Z is 0.59.
  • Only 0 years of positive FCF.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹414.32
-51.8% MoS
DCF Fair PE
33.0
DCF Fair Value
₹1,011.12
+37.8% MoS
PEG
0.67

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
20.50
P/B
2.52
EV/EBITDA
723.97
Market Cap
52079.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
13.90%
ROCE
9.09%
ROA
2.06%
Dividend Y
0.64%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
11.00%
EPS 5Y
45.00%
Revenue 3Y
14.00%
EPS 3Y
9.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
4.80
Interest Coverage
Altman Z
0.59
Book Value
249.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
0/5
OCF
-8606.00 Cr
EPS TTM
30.64

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
74.12%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
21%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 14.0+366.7% vs prev
014.0Mar 2021: 10.0Mar 2022: 5.0Mar 2023: 11.0Mar 2024: 3.0Mar 2025: 14.0FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 2,544+16.9% vs prev
02544Mar 2021: 391Mar 2022: 1,011Mar 2023: 2,461Mar 2024: 2,176Mar 2025: 2,544FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 16.1+1.6% vs prev
021.5Mar 2021: 4.6%Mar 2022: 10.6%Mar 2023: 21.5%Mar 2024: 15.8%Mar 2025: 16.1%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.