IP
IndiaPulse

HERITGFOOD

Micro Cap

Heritage Foods Limited

Consumer

Heritage Foods is an Indian dairy FMCG company operating across the value chain from procurement to processing and distribution. It serves 10 million consumers daily with milk and value-added products (VAP) across 13 states, focusing on quality from farm to table.

₹320
+4.80 · +1.52%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
40

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
71

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
42

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
61

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Bad · 0/100

PAT -37% YoY · margin compression · Rev +11% YoY

Filed 11 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,158 Cr+10.5%+3.5%
EBITDA₹52 Cr-33.3%-17.5%
Operating margin5.0%-200 bps-100 bps
PAT₹24 Cr-36.8%-31.4%
PAT margin2.1%-156 bps-106 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T08:38:57.247Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4FY26 revenue grew 10.4% YoY, but EBITDA and PAT declined significantly by 34.6% and 37.3% YoY, respectively, due to severe milk shortages and elevated procurement inflation. FY26 revenue grew 9.5% YoY, with EBITDA down 19.5% and PAT down 31.0%.

While Heritage Foods demonstrated resilient revenue growth in a tough operating environment, significant margin compression due to elevated procurement costs and milk shortages is a concern. The strategic focus on VAP and new capacities is positive, but current profitability is under stress, requiring close monitoring of input costs and VAP ramp-up.

Current business mix

FY26 Product Mix

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Milk56.0%
VAP33.0%
FAT7.0%
Others4.0%
Growth engines

Value-Added Products (VAP)

VAP segment achieved an 18% increase in revenues in Q4FY26. Categories like curd, paneer, consumer fats, and ice-creams recorded strong traction.

Emerging Channels

Q-commerce and Fresh Distribution scaled rapidly, strengthening market penetration and consumer engagement across key regions.

Heritage Nutrivet Subsidiary

FY26 Feed volumes grew 40% YoY, with Revenues up 32% YoY, reflecting sustained demand and strong execution.

Premiumization

Continued investments in premiumisation and new capacities are expected to drive sustainable long-term growth.

Capacity and execution

Ice Cream Plant Commissioning

A state-of-the-art Ice Cream Plant at Shamirpet, Hyderabad, with 24 million litres annual capacity, has started commercial production.

Tailwinds

Urban Consumption Surge

Urban population as a percentage of total population is projected to increase to 41% by 2030, igniting dairy demand.

Middle Class Expansion

India's middle-income population is projected to expand significantly by CY28(P), driving value creation.

Q-commerce Adoption

Domestic Q-Commerce Market by GOV is projected to reach INR 2,00,000 Cr by FY28(P), set to accelerate FMCG growth.

Unorganised to Organised Shift

The organized sector's share of milk sales is projected to increase to 41% by FY30P from 36% in FY20.

Headwinds

Severe Milk Shortages

FY26 witnessed one of the toughest operating environments for the dairy industry, marked by severe milk shortages.

Elevated Procurement Inflation

Raw Milk Inflation Accelerated Sharply Across FY26, with procurement prices increasing 8% YoY in Q4 FY26.

Weak Flush Season

Weak Flush Season and Lower Milk Availability Impacted Industry Procurement.

Higher Domestic Butter Costs

Elevated Global Butter Prices Tightened Domestic Supply Dynamics and Higher Domestic Butter Costs pressured margins.

Risk radar

Input Cost Volatility

The company faces risks from elevated procurement inflation for raw milk and higher domestic butter costs, which pressured margins in FY26.

Supply Chain Disruptions

Severe milk shortages and a weak flush season in FY26 highlight the vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and raw material availability.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is essential to assess overall growth, the impact of annual seasonal cycles in dairy, and long-term trends in input costs. QoQ comparison is useful for tracking sequential momentum in VAP, procurement price changes, and operational efficiency improvements.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Milk Sales Volume

Q4 FY26 Milk Sales volumes peaked to 1.17 million liters per day (MLPD) up 1.2% YoY.

Average Selling Price (Milk)

The average selling price increased to ₹57.80/L from ₹55.6/L last year in Q4 FY26, reflecting stable market positioning and pricing strength.

VAP Revenue Growth

Value-Added Products (VAP) segment achieved an 18% increase in revenues, reaching Rs. 3,957 million in Q4FY26. Including consumer packs of Ghee and Butter, VAP revenue reached Rs. 4,668 million, up 22.5% YoY in Q4 FY26.

VAP Contribution to Total Revenue

Contribution of VAP to total revenue improved by 3% YoY to 35.51% from 32.49% in Q4FY26. Including consumer fats, this segment reached 41.9% of total revenue compared to 36.8% in Q4 FY25.

Management forward view

Focus on VAP and Premiumization

Management states continued investments in premiumisation, new capacities, and Value-added Products to drive sustainable long-term growth.

Strengthening Procurement & Distribution

The company remains focused on strengthening procurement infrastructure, expanding distribution reach, and scaling high-growth categories.

Operational Efficiency & Innovation

Management aims to drive sustainable shareholder value through innovation, operational efficiency, and environmental stewardship.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
EBITDA Margins5.9% (FY26)Improvement in margins as industry conditions normalize and VAP contribution increases.
VAP Contribution to Revenue33% (FY26 Product Mix)Continued increase towards the FY28E target of 40% contribution from VAP (including consumer fats).
Milk Procurement Volumes1.64 MLPD (Q4FY26, down 7% YoY)Stabilization and growth in procurement volumes, indicating easing supply tightness.
Ice Cream RevenueINR 106 Cr (FY26)Ramp-up from the new Shamirpet plant and progress towards the FY30 target of INR 500+ Cr.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

42Neutral

SMA20 -15.4% / mo · near 52W low

Stock trend: 41
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -0.7% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

HERITGFOODweekly · 5Y-36.1%
Latest close ₹319.85 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-0.0%
RSI
39
MACD hist
3.00
52W pos
11%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹280₹347₹414₹480₹54752H52L2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2024-112025-042025-102026-032026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Neutral

Trend is undirectional — long-term trend unclear. RSI 39.

  • SMA20 falling (~18.2% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 39 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 40% off 52W high · 9% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

40U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation9/30
Growth5/25
Quality6/20
Balance Sheet10/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
7/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
40

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

40/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 7/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 10/15 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 4/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -171.7%.
  • Growth is weaker at 5/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 9/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
20.8
PB
2.7
EV/EBITDA
9.6
ROE
13.7%
ROCE
15.9%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.3
MoS
-171.7%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
40
Previous: 40
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-171.7%
Previous: -167.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
71Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 67th percentile of the scored universe and 66th percentile within Consumer. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 58/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 2 recent quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 22 May 2026
trust-lite-v1
0 docs indexed · 0 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
67th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 66th pctile, median 67 · Micro: 52nd pctile, median 71

Evidence depth
Financial-only

0 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
89
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
58
watch · capital discipline
Results
61
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 7 years of positive FCF.
  • 8/8 recent quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 4%.

Trust risks

  • 2 recent quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ROCE trend is -3.1%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹208.14
-53.7% MoS
DCF Fair PE
7.3
DCF Fair Value
₹117.79
-171.7% MoS
PEG

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
20.80
P/B
2.69
EV/EBITDA
9.62
Market Cap
2969.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
13.70%
ROCE
15.90%
ROA
9.63%
Dividend Y
0.78%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
13.00%
EPS 5Y
-1.00%
Revenue 3Y
12.00%
EPS 3Y
38.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.33
Interest Coverage
15.59×
Altman Z
8.59
Book Value
119.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
237.00 Cr
EPS TTM
16.18

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
41.30%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
11%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.