IP
IndiaPulse

LEMONTREE

Large Cap

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited

Consumer

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited (LTHL) is one of India's largest hotel chains, owning/leasing/operating/franchising hotels across upscale, upper-midscale, midscale, and economy segments. It operates 131 hotels with 11,811 rooms in 80+ cities across 7 brands, with a growing pipeline of 137 upcoming properties.

₹108
+0.91 · +0.85%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
56

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
71

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
42

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
87

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Bad · 22/100

margin compression · Rev +10% YoY · PAT +7% YoY

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹416 Cr+9.8%+2.5%
EBITDA₹215 Cr+5.9%+4.9%
Operating margin52.0%-200 bps+200 bps
PAT₹116 Cr+7.4%+41.5%
PAT margin27.9%-62 bps+768 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T18:03:18.207Z
Management commentary snapshot

Lemon Tree Hotels reported its best-ever FY26 and Q4 FY26, with strong revenue and PAT growth. Full-year revenue rose 13% YoY to ₹1,452.7 Cr, and PAT grew 19% to ₹288.3 Cr. Q4 revenue increased 11% YoY to ₹419.5 Cr, with PAT up 8% to ₹116.5 Cr. EBITDA margins contracted due to renovation, GST, and tech investments.

The company achieved record FY26 and Q4 results across key financial and operational metrics, driven by strong demand. While EBITDA margins contracted due to strategic investments and GST changes, management expects these impacts to reduce, leading to future margin expansion. The asset-light growth strategy and robust pipeline support continued expansion.

Current business mix

Network Revenue by Hotel Type (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Owned Hotels60.0%
Managed and Franchised Hotels40.0%
Growth engines

Asset-Light Expansion

Opened 20 managed and franchised hotels with 1,523 rooms and signed 55 managed and franchised hotels with 4,912 rooms in FY26.

Robust Pipeline

Combined operational and signed pipeline inventory stands at 22,581 rooms across 268 hotels, with 10,770 upcoming rooms in 137 hotels.

Premiumization Strategy

All current future supply is planned under the upper upscale Aurika brand, which remains largely unaffected by GST changes.

Favorable Market Dynamics

Indian hospitality market demand consistently outpacing supply in the mid-market segment where the company operates.

Capacity and execution

FY26 Managed & Franchised Openings

20 hotels with 1,523 rooms were opened in FY26, including 1 hotel with 43 rooms in Q4 FY26.

FY26 Managed & Franchised Signings

55 hotels with 4,912 rooms were signed in FY26, including 9 hotels with 646 rooms in Q4 FY26.

Owned/Leased Hotel Pipeline

Aurika, Shimla (91 rooms, FY27); Aurika, Shillong (165 rooms, FY28); Aurika, Nehru Place, Delhi (~572 rooms, FY30); Aurika, Varanasi (47 rooms, FY30).

Tailwinds

Favorable Structural Market Position

Indian hospitality market continues to be in a favorable structural position, with demand consistently outpacing supply in the mid-market segment.

Reduced Debt & Cost of Debt

Total borrowings brought down to ₹1,500 Cr from ₹1,699 Cr YoY; cost of debt fell to 7.42%, down 115 bps YoY.

Value-Accretive Re-structuring

Re-structuring is value-accretive for public shareholders, increasing effective ownership in Fleur from 45.8% to 57.5% and total attributable EBITDA by 8%+.

Headwinds

EBITDA Margin Contraction

FY26 margins impacted by 580 basis points due to significant step-up in renovation expenditure, investments in technology, and GST-related changes.

GST Impact

GST-related change had a half-year impact in FY26 and will have a full-year impact going forward, though expected to decrease as ARR grows.

Global Geopolitical Tensions

Intermittent global headwinds including renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and aviation disruptions impacted the year.

Risk radar

Execution of Pipeline

Converting the significant pipeline of 10,770 rooms into operational assets and generating fee income requires effective execution.

Sustained Margin Pressure

Renovation, technology investments, and GST changes are currently suppressing EBITDA margins, and the full impact of GST is yet to be realized.

Competition in Asset-Light Model

Lemon Tree aims to be the 'operator of choice' for hotel owners, implying competition for management and franchise contracts.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing overall growth and performance trends, especially in a seasonal business like hospitality. QoQ comparison is important for tracking sequential momentum in operational metrics like occupancy and ARR, and for understanding the immediate impact of cost changes.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Occupancy (%)

FY26: 73.5% (up 186 bps YoY); Q4 FY26: 78.5% (up 96 bps YoY).

Average Room Rate (₹)

FY26: ₹6,875 (up 8% YoY); Q4 FY26: ₹7,457 (up 6% YoY).

Net EBITDA Margin (%)

FY26: 48.1% (down 126 bps YoY); Q4 FY26: 52.0% (down 198 bps YoY).

Management / Franchise Fees from 3rd Party Hotels

FY26: ₹73.9 Cr (up 23% YoY); Q4 FY26: ₹20.6 Cr (up 29% YoY).

Management forward view

Expected Margin Expansion

Management expects renovation, technology, and GST expense heads to reduce to ~3.7% of revenue by FY28 and onwards, leading to EBITDA margin expansion.

Focus on Aurika Brand

All current future supply is being planned under the upper upscale Aurika brand, which is largely unaffected by the GST change.

Asset-Light Growth Strategy

Lemon Tree will expand management contracts across sub-segments and Tier I/II/III markets, leveraging its scalable fee-based model.

Fleur's Expansion Flexibility

Fleur Hotels will have flexibility to partner with various hospitality brands and is the exclusive development partner for owned-hotel opportunities from Lemon Tree Group.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
EBITDA Margin Impact from Investments5.8% of revenue (FY26) from renovation, tech, and GST.Reduction of these expense heads to ~3.7% of revenue by FY28 and onwards.
Managed/Franchised Rooms Pipeline Conversion9,895 rooms in pipeline under managed/franchised contracts.Timely conversion of pipeline rooms into operational status, driving fee income growth.
Cost of Borrowing7.42% as of March 31, 2026.Continued reduction in cost of debt and overall borrowings.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

42Neutral

SMA20 -15.8% / mo · near 52W low

Stock trend: 41
Sector RS: 45
Sector 3M: -0.7% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

LEMONTREEweekly · 1Y-22.1%
Latest close ₹107.99 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-0.9%
RSI
38
MACD hist
0.79
52W pos
11%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹96₹117₹139₹160₹18252H52L2025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2025-062025-102026-012026-052026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend unclear. RSI 38.

  • SMA20 falling (~18.7% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 38 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 39% off 52W high · 8% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

56U-SCORE
Growth at Value

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation14/30
Growth18/25
Quality10/20
Balance Sheet1/15
Cash Flow7/10
Piotroski
7/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
56

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

56/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 4.4%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 7/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 51.8%.

Main drags

  • Balance sheet is weaker at 1/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 14/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 10/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
34.2
PB
6.1
EV/EBITDA
12.8
ROE
19.4%
ROCE
14.0%
FCF Yield
4.4%
Debt/Equity
1.5
MoS
+51.8%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
56
Previous: 56
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+51.8%
Previous: +52.1%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
58
56
59
59
59
59
57
57
56
56
56
56

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
71Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 67th percentile of the scored universe and 66th percentile within Consumer. Main check: balance sheet trust is weak at 53/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Promoter holding is only 22.3%.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
163 docs indexed · 61 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
67th percentile

overall median 67 · Consumer: 66th pctile, median 67 · Large: 43rd pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

163 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
66
acceptable · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
53
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
76
strong · capital discipline
Results
87
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 4.4%.
  • 5 years of positive FCF.
  • 4/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Promoter holding is only 22.3%.
  • Debt/equity is 1.54.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹33.71
-220.4% MoS
DCF Fair PE
78.0
DCF Fair Value
₹223.86
+51.8% MoS
PEG
1.11

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
34.20
P/B
6.08
EV/EBITDA
12.83
Market Cap
8489.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
19.40%
ROCE
14.00%
ROA
6.72%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
42.00%
EPS 5Y
32.00%
Revenue 3Y
18.00%
EPS 3Y
29.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.54
Interest Coverage
4.13×
Altman Z
2.94
Book Value
17.60

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
4.39%
FCF Positive Y
5/5
OCF
542.00 Cr
EPS TTM
2.87

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
22.32%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
9%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 132-57.5% vs prev
0451.7Mar 2026: 452Mar 2025: 391Mar 2024: 369Mar 2023: 311Mar 2022: 132FY26FY25FY24FY23FY22

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.