IP
IndiaPulse

NATCOPHARM

Small Cap

Natco Pharma Limited

Pharma

Natco Pharma is an Indian pharmaceutical company manufacturing APIs, domestic formulations, and export formulations. It also operates a Crop Health Sciences division and strategically invests in novel therapies, including xenotransplantation, cell & gene therapy, and small-molecule inhibitors.

₹867.9
-0.40 · -0.05%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Strong fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
Good U-Score but weak results consistency: verify latest quarters.
U-Score
DEEP VALUE
79

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
64

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
53

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
5

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Bad · 0/100

Rev -39% YoY · PAT -34% YoY · margin compression · +14% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹739 Cr-39.5%+14.2%
EBITDA₹128 Cr-76.6%-19.5%
Operating margin17.0%-2800 bps-800 bps
PAT₹269 Cr-33.7%+78.2%
PAT margin36.4%+315 bps+1306 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-06T09:09:09.036Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4FY26 revenue declined 36.5% YoY, with PAT boosted by a one-time tax benefit. Full-year FY26 revenue fell 8.5% YoY, and EBITDA margin contracted significantly to 39.6% from 53.3% in FY25, primarily due to a sharp decline in export formulations.

The core export formulations business experienced a substantial YoY revenue decline in Q4FY26 and FY26, leading to a significant drop in overall revenue and EBITDA margin. While new product launches and strategic investments in advanced therapies are positive, the underlying performance of the largest segment raises concerns about sustained growth and profitability. The reported PAT increase is largely due to a one-time tax adjustment.

Current business mix

Revenue Breakup by Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 5 reported categories.

Businessmix
Export formulation66.0%
Domestic Formulation17.0%
Crop Health Sciences2.8%
API7.8%
Others10.1%
Growth engines

New Product Launches (India)

Launched Semaglutide Multi Dose Vials and Risdiplam in the Indian market.

New Generic Launches (U.S.)

Launched Pomalidomide Capsules, Everolimus tablets 1 mg, and Bosentan tablets for oral suspension (TFOS), 32mg in the U.S. market.

Strategic Investments in Novel Therapies

Investments in eGenesis (xenotransplantation), Cellogen Therapeutics (cell & gene therapy), Stero Therapeutics (metabolic diseases), and NRC-2694 (small-molecule TKI).

International Acquisition

Culmination of a strategic acquisition of 35.75% stake in Adcock Ingram Holdings Limited, South Africa.

Tailwinds

Tax Regime Change Benefit

Q4FY26 PAT includes a one-time benefit of INR 1,150 million due to election of new tax regime and remeasurement of deferred tax asset on MAT credit.

Investee Company Milestones

eGenesis, a xenotransplantation investee, performed the first human transplant of a genetically engineered pig kidney in March 2024.

Cell & Gene Therapy Approvals

Cellogen Therapeutics, an investee, received GMP manufacturing approvals in India for its advanced cellular engineering methods.

Headwinds

Decline in Export Formulations

Pharma Export Formulations revenue declined significantly by 48.7% YoY in Q4FY26 and 14% YoY for FY26.

Overall Revenue Contraction

Consolidated Total Revenue decreased by 36.5% YoY in Q4FY26 and 8.5% YoY for FY26.

EBITDA Margin Erosion

EBITDA margin contracted sharply from 47.7% in Q4FY25 to 25.1% in Q4FY26, and from 53.3% in FY25 to 39.6% in FY26.

Risk radar

Strategy Implementation

Ability to successfully implement the company's stated strategy and growth plans.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in regulatory norms applicable to the company's operations and product approvals.

Market & Competition Exposure

Exposure to market risks and competitive pressures in key pharmaceutical segments.

Technological Changes

Impact of rapid technological changes on product development and market relevance.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial to assess the significant decline in total revenue and EBITDA margin, particularly in the export formulations segment. QoQ comparison provides insight into sequential momentum, showing some revenue improvement but a decline in EBITDA margin.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Domestic Formulations Revenue

Q4FY26: INR 1,087 Mn (vs Q4FY25: 994 Mn); FY26: INR 4,409 Mn (vs FY25: 4,000 Mn).

Pharma Export Formulations Revenue

Q4FY26: INR 5,396 Mn (vs Q4FY25: 10,525 Mn); FY26: INR 32,345 Mn (vs FY25: 37,597 Mn).

EBITDA Margin

Q4FY26: 25.1% (vs Q4FY25: 47.7%); FY26: 39.6% (vs FY25: 53.3%).

PAT Margin

Q4FY26: 32.9% (vs Q4FY25: 31.5%); FY26: 32.4% (vs FY25: 39.4%). Q4FY26 PAT includes one-time tax benefit.

Management forward view

NCE Clinical Trial Progress

Phase 2 clinical trial for NRC-2694 (Head and Neck cancer) approved by US FDA, with patient recruitment ongoing in US and India.

Cell & Gene Therapy Dosing

First human dosing for Leukemia using Cellogen Therapeutics' CAR-T cell therapies will begin shortly in India.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Pharma Export Formulations RevenueINR 32,345 Mn (FY26)Reversal of the YoY decline and sustained growth in this key segment.
EBITDA Margin39.6% (FY26)Stabilization and improvement from current contracted levels, indicating better operational efficiency.
NCE/Cell & Gene Therapy ProgressNRC-2694 Phase 2 recruitment, Cellogen human dosing imminent.Advancement of clinical trials and clear timelines for commercialization of novel therapies.
Adcock Ingram ContributionShare of profit of associate INR 466 Mn (FY26)Increased and sustained contribution from the strategic acquisition to overall profitability.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

53Neutral

SMA20 +10.2% / mo · near 52W low

Stock trend: 56
Sector RS: 48
Sector 3M: +0.0% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

NATCOPHARMweekly · 5Y-21.1%
Latest close ₹865.00 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-2.2%
RSI
31
MACD hist
-35.38
52W pos
17%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹445₹758₹1.1k₹1.4k₹1.7k52H52L2022-122023-032023-062023-092023-122024-032024-062024-092024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2021-062023-022024-102025-082026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend down. RSI 31.

  • Price below SMA200 (long-term downtrend) — short-term bounces likely countertrend.
  • SMA20 rising (~9.3% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 31 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 29% off 52W high · 10% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

79U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

DEEP VALUE
Valuation26/30
Growth23/25
Quality8/20
Balance Sheet12/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
79

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

79/100 · DEEP VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 73.9%.
  • Growth contributes 23/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 8/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 4/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 12/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Healthcare valuation: PE/EVEBITDA with regulatory and pipeline checks

Healthcare valuation needs both earnings quality and regulatory/pipeline context.

Pharma PE/EVEBITDA
Primary lens
PE and EV/EBITDA adjusted for product mix and R&D/pipeline quality.
Secondary checks
USFDA risk, launch pipeline, margin trend, domestic vs export mix.
Main risk check
Regulatory setbacks or one-off product cycles can distort valuation.
PE
11.0
PB
1.7
EV/EBITDA
9.9
ROE
16.9%
ROCE
17.1%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.1
MoS
+73.9%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
79
Previous: 79
Verdict
DEEP VALUE
Previous: DEEP VALUE
Margin of safety
+73.9%
Previous: +74.0%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
88
88
79
79
76
76
76
76
78
78
78
79

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
64Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 42nd percentile of the scored universe and 29th percentile within Pharma. Main check: results consistency is weak at 5/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
157 docs indexed · 71 concall links
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
42nd percentile

overall median 67 · Pharma: 29th pctile, median 70 · Small: 47th pctile, median 65

Evidence depth
Financial-only

157 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
58
watch · capital discipline
Results
5
weak · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 8 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.08.

Trust risks

  • 2 latest quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ROCE trend is -9.6%.
  • 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.
  • 1/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹957.98
+9.4% MoS
DCF Fair PE
42.0
DCF Fair Value
₹3,326.4
+73.9% MoS
PEG
0.40

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
11.00
P/B
1.69
EV/EBITDA
9.90
Market Cap
15548.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
16.90%
ROCE
17.10%
ROA
12.80%
Dividend Y
0.69%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
15.00%
EPS 5Y
28.00%
Revenue 3Y
15.00%
EPS 3Y
26.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.08
Interest Coverage
38.81×
Altman Z
7.29
Book Value
515.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
8/5
OCF
1768.00 Cr
EPS TTM
79.20

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
49.41%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
18%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 1,081-34.3% vs prev
01758Mar 2026: 1,710Mar 2025: 1,758Mar 2024: 1,707Mar 2023: 1,645Mar 2022: 1,081FY26FY25FY24FY23FY22

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.