IP
IndiaPulse

PARADEEP

Large Cap

Paradeep Phosphates Limited

Industrials

Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PPL) is India’s leading private sector phosphatic fertilizer company with a capacity of 3.7 MMTPA across three plants (Paradeep, Goa, Mangalore). It produces DAP, NPK grades, and Urea, with backward integration for key raw materials and a wide distribution network across 18 states.

₹126.4
+2.40 · +1.94%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Investable fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
UNDERVALUED
71

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
68

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
45

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
67

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Bad · 0/100

PAT -9% YoY · margin compression · Rev +12% YoY

Filed 11 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹4,702 Cr+12.1%-18.2%
EBITDA₹442 Cr+15.4%-6.4%
Operating margin9.0%+0 bps+100 bps
PAT₹156 Cr-9.3%-14.3%
PAT margin3.3%-78 bps+15 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T18:22:38.823Z
Management commentary snapshot

PPL reported strong FY26 performance with Revenue from Operations up 28.7% YoY to Rs. 218,263 Mn and EBITDA up 33.0% YoY to Rs. 22,594 Mn. PAT surged 52.2% YoY to Rs. 10,008 Mn. Q4 FY26 saw mixed results with Total Income up 11.5% YoY but Net Profit down 4.7% YoY.

PPL delivered robust FY26 results driven by improved economies of scale, NPK category growth, and market penetration. Strategic capacity additions in Sulphuric Acid and planned Phosphoric Acid expansion support backward integration and future growth. Q4 PAT decline warrants monitoring.

Current business mix

Installed Capacity Mix (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Urea22.0%
DAP/NPK78.0%
Growth engines

Integrated Manufacturing Operations

Reflected in strong financial and operational performance in Q4 and FY2026.

Diversified Product Portfolio

Growth in TSP and other value-added fertilizers NPK as a category (including TSP) grew by 22%.

Deepened Market Penetration

Supported by extensive pan-India distribution network and strong farmer engagement.

Efficient Sourcing Capabilities

Competitive edge via long-term agreements and backward integration, hedging global price volatility.

Capacity and execution

Sulphuric Acid Capacity

Commissioned 500,000 MTPA plant at Paradeep and 100,000 MTPA at Mangalore in FY26, increasing company capacity by 0.6 MMTPA (45%).

Phosphoric Acid Capacity

Plan to double phos acid capacity from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA is on track, aiming for 100% backward integration at all sites.

Sulphuric Acid Plant (Mangalore)

300 TPD Sulphuric Acid plant commissioned in March 2026.

Tailwinds

Strong Brand Equity

Jai Kisaan Navratna and Mangala brands hold strong equity with farmers, supported by continuous channel engagement.

Proximity to Ports

Paradeep, Goa, and Mangalore plants benefit from port proximity, enhancing inbound logistics and raw material sourcing.

Strategic Expansion Plan

Targeting 5.0 MMTPA total capacity by FY29, with Urea at 16% and DAP/NPK at 84%.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

The document provides both Q4 YoY and FY YoY figures, which are crucial for understanding annual performance and seasonal trends in the fertilizer business. QoQ figures are also available for sequential momentum analysis.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Total Fertilizers Production (FY26)

3,666,291 MT, up 7.7% Y-o-Y. Achieved 100% capacity utilization.

Total Fertilizers Sales (FY26)

4,209,890 MT, up 10.2% Y-o-Y.

Revenue from Operations (FY26)

Rs. 218,263 Mn, up 28.7% Y-o-Y.

EBITDA Margin (FY26)

10.3% (Rs. 22,594 Mn), up 33.0% Y-o-Y.

Management forward view

Focus on Operational Excellence

Management remains focused on operational excellence, disciplined execution, and sustainable growth.

Serving Farming Community

Continuing to serve India’s farming community through a diversified product portfolio and strong distribution network.

Backward Integration Goal

Endeavour to make all sites 100% backward integrated in Phosphoric Acid.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Phosphoric Acid Capacity ExpansionPlan to double capacity from 0.5 MMTPA to 1 MMTPA.Monitor progress and commissioning timelines for the Phosphoric Acid capacity doubling.
NPK Category GrowthNPK as a category (including TSP) grew by 22% in FY26.Watch for sustained growth in value-added NPK products and market penetration.
Overall Capacity UtilizationAchieved 100% capacity utilization in FY26 (37 lakh tonnes production).Monitor if the company can maintain high utilization rates with new capacity additions.
Q4 Net Profit TrendQ4 FY26 Net Profit Rs. 1,611 Mn, down 4.7% Y-o-Y.Assess if Q4 PAT decline is an anomaly or indicates margin pressure in subsequent quarters.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

45Neutral

SMA20 -7.0% / mo

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

PARADEEPweekly · 1Y-26.5%
Latest close ₹126.26 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+0.2%
RSI
48
MACD hist
1.66
52W pos
20%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹93₹130₹166₹203₹23952H52L2025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2025-062025-102026-012026-052026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 48. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 falling (~7.6% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 48 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 46% off 52W high · 27% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

71U-SCORE
Top Setup

Fundamental score breakdown

UNDERVALUED
Valuation20/30
Growth23/25
Quality14/20
Balance Sheet7/15
Cash Flow3/10
Piotroski
5/9 (+3)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
71

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

71/100 · UNDERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 70.7%.
  • Growth contributes 23/25 to the score.
  • Quality contributes 14/20 to the score.

Main drags

  • Cash flow is weaker at 3/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 7/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 20/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Cyclical valuation: normalized earnings, not just trailing PE

Cyclical companies can look cheapest near peak profits, so IndiaPulse flags value-trap risk separately.

Cyclical normalized
Primary lens
Mid-cycle PE/EV/EBITDA using multi-year average margins or earnings.
Secondary checks
Current margin versus 5-year average, balance sheet strength, commodity cycle.
Main risk check
A low trailing PE may mean peak-cycle earnings, not true cheapness.
PE
12.6
PB
1.9
EV/EBITDA
7.7
ROE
18.9%
ROCE
17.1%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
1.0
MoS
+70.7%
Cyclical/value-trap warning
This sector can look cheap when profits are temporarily high. Check mid-cycle margins/earnings before relying on trailing PE. Debt/equity is 1.0, so downturn resilience matters.
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
71
Previous: 71
Verdict
UNDERVALUED
Previous: UNDERVALUED
Margin of safety
+70.7%
Previous: +71.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
70
70
71
71
71
71
70
70
70
70
70
71

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
68Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 57th percentile of the scored universe and 53rd percentile within Industrials. Main check: cash conversion is weak at 52/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 57.8%. Key concern: Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-1012 Cr.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
58 docs indexed · 21 concall links
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
57th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 53rd pctile, median 68 · Large: 34th pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

58 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
90
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
52
watch · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
53
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
84
strong · capital discipline
Results
67
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 57.8%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • Promoter holding increased 1.8%.
  • 4 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • Operating cash flow is negative at ₹-1012 Cr.
  • Debt/equity is 1.02.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹118.76
-6.4% MoS
DCF Fair PE
45.0
DCF Fair Value
₹432
+70.7% MoS
PEG
0.31

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
12.60
P/B
1.90
EV/EBITDA
7.74
Market Cap
12881.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
18.90%
ROCE
17.10%
ROA
5.55%
Dividend Y
0.81%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
33.00%
EPS 5Y
35.00%
Revenue 3Y
18.00%
EPS 3Y
48.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
1.02
Interest Coverage
4.08×
Altman Z
2.89
Book Value
65.30

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
-1012.00 Cr
EPS TTM
9.60

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
57.79%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
18%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 21.8k+57.9% vs prev
022kMar 2019: 4,358Mar 2020: 4,193Mar 2021: 5,165Mar 2022: 7,859Mar 2023: 13.3kMar 2024: 11.6kMar 2025: 13.8kMar 2026: 21.8kFY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 996+80.4% vs prev
0996.0Mar 2019: 159Mar 2020: 193Mar 2021: 223Mar 2022: 398Mar 2023: 304Mar 2024: 100Mar 2025: 552Mar 2026: 996FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 14.7+8.4% vs prev
017.9Mar 2019: 10.7%Mar 2020: 12.0%Mar 2021: 12.2%Mar 2022: 17.9%Mar 2023: 8.7%Mar 2024: 2.8%Mar 2025: 13.5%Mar 2026: 14.7%FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.