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IndiaPulse

RUBICON

Micro Cap

Rubicon Research Limited

Pharma

Rubicon Research is an R&D-driven formulations company focused on regulated markets, specializing in complex generics, drug-device combinations, and specialty products. It has full-spectrum capabilities from development to manufacturing and marketing in the US and is expanding into the Indian CNS market.

₹1,173.7
-7.70 · -0.65%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
59

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
79

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
55

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
63

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Excellent · 100/100

Rev +44% YoY · PAT +114% YoY · margin expansion · +8% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹514 Cr+43.6%+8.0%
EBITDA₹119 Cr+65.3%+10.2%
Operating margin23.0%+300 bps+0 bps
PAT₹77 Cr+113.9%+5.5%
PAT margin15.0%+492 bps-36 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T02:03:56.451Z
Management commentary snapshot

Rubicon Research reported strong Q4 FY26 results with revenue up 43.5% YoY to INR 5,139 Mn, EBITDA up 67.2% YoY to INR 1,213 Mn, and PAT up 111.8% YoY to INR 768 Mn, driven by broad-based growth and stable pricing.

The company delivered robust Q4 FY26 performance with significant YoY growth across key financial metrics. While gross margins faced slight sequential pressure due to increased outsourced manufacturing, management expects EBITDA margins to sustain. Strategic acquisitions and R&D productivity provide future growth visibility.

Growth engines

US Specialty Products

Specialty portfolio contributed 32.8% to gross profit in Q4. Validus markets 3 branded products with no US FDA approved substitutable generics.

Drug-Device Combinations

5 nasal spray products approved. Commissioned one of the largest single-site nasal spray capacities in the world.

R&D Productivity

Incremental revenue multiple on lagging R&D spend increased to 5.9x in FY26, providing strong visibility for FY29/30 & beyond.

India Formulations (CNS)

Arinna Lifesciences acquisition provides a CNS-focused India market launchpad with 60 brands and 4,000 active prescribers.

Capacity and execution

Pithampur Manufacturing Site

Acquired in FY26. Qualified and product filed with USFDA. Inspection date awaited. Expect to ramp up production in Q1 CY27.

Tailwinds

Stable Pricing

Pricing continues to remain stable, driven by the company's focus on specialty/differentiated products.

Benign Macro Environment for India

Company notes a benign macro environment for its India scale-up compared to its US market entry 10 years ago.

Headwinds

Outsourced Manufacturing Reliance

Strong revenue traction requires increased reliance on outsourced manufacturing, which could further contract GM% in the near term.

Risk radar

Gross Margin Pressure

Larger than anticipated reliance on outsourced manufacturing could further contract gross margins in the near term.

Pithampur Commissioning Delay

Delay in USFDA inspection or ramp-up of the Pithampur site could prolong reliance on outsourced manufacturing.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is primary for assessing overall growth and annual performance. QoQ comparison is crucial for tracking sequential momentum, especially for gross margin trends, USD revenue growth, and the impact of outsourcing.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Domestic Formulations Growth

Acquisition of Arinna Lifesciences (CNS focused India formulations company) with 60 brands, ~160 sales reps, and 4,000 active prescribers.

US/Export Growth

USD revenue of $56 Mn for Q4 FY26, up 35% YoY ($41 Mn Q4 FY25) and up 4% QoQ ($53 Mn Q3 FY26). ~98% of revenue is USD denominated.

Launch Pipeline & Approvals

Received 12 product approvals in FY26. 24 products were under review by USFDA as of March 31. 92% of approved products are commercialized.

USFDA Observations

Ambernath (OSD, nasal), Satara (oral liquid), Canada R&D, and Thane R&D HQ sites had NAI/VAI with zero observations in recent inspections.

Management forward view

Sustained EBITDA Margin

Management expects Operating EBITDA margin to sustain in the current 22-23% range, even with potential gross margin contraction.

R&D Spend Commitment

Company remains on track for its guided INR 5,000 Mn+ R&D spend over 9 quarters (FY26+FY27+Q1FY28).

Pithampur Ramp-up Impact

Expects production ramp-up from Pithampur in Q1 CY27 to be GM% accretive.

Tactical Manufacturing Measures

Company is evaluating tactical measures to reduce reliance on outsourced manufacturing from a 2-3 quarter perspective.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Pithampur Production Ramp-upUSFDA inspection awaited, Q1 CY27 ramp-up expected.Timely USFDA inspection and successful commercialization from Pithampur to reduce outsourcing reliance.
Gross Margin TrendQ4 FY26 GM 66.3%, slight sequential drop due to outsourcing.Stabilization or improvement in gross margins as own manufacturing capacity comes online and tactical measures take effect.
R&D ProductivityIncremental revenue multiple on lagging R&D spend 5.9x in FY26.Maintenance of R&D productivity at similar levels to ensure strong visibility for future revenues (FY29/30 & beyond).
Specialty Gross Profit Contribution32.8% in Q4 FY26.Continued growth in the specialty portfolio's contribution to gross profit, indicating successful execution of strategy.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

55Neutral

SMA20 +47.3% / mo

Stock trend: 59
Sector RS: 48
Sector 3M: +0.0% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

RUBICONweekly · 5Y+89.2%
Latest close ₹1170.50 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-1.6%
RSI
66
MACD hist
6.30
52W pos
75%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹531₹751₹970₹1.2k₹1.4k52H52L2025-122026-03Vol2025-102026-012026-032026-052026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 66. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 rising (~32.1% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 66 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 15% off 52W high · 105% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

59U-SCORE
Premium Compounder

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation0/30
Growth25/25
Quality18/20
Balance Sheet9/15
Cash Flow2/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
59

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

59/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Growth contributes 25/25 to the score.
  • Quality contributes 18/20 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -86.5%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 2/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Healthcare valuation: PE/EVEBITDA with regulatory and pipeline checks

Healthcare valuation needs both earnings quality and regulatory/pipeline context.

Pharma PE/EVEBITDA
Primary lens
PE and EV/EBITDA adjusted for product mix and R&D/pipeline quality.
Secondary checks
USFDA risk, launch pipeline, margin trend, domestic vs export mix.
Main risk check
Regulatory setbacks or one-off product cycles can distort valuation.
PE
78.3
PB
15.0
EV/EBITDA
44.1
ROE
27.0%
ROCE
28.4%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
-86.5%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
59
Previous: 59
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
-86.5%
Previous: -85.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
49
49
58
58
56
56
56
56
59
59
59
59

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
79Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 90th percentile of the scored universe and 84th percentile within Pharma. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 59.9%.

Computed 22 May 2026
trust-lite-v1
0 docs indexed · 0 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
90th percentile

overall median 67 · Pharma: 84th pctile, median 70 · Micro: 85th pctile, median 71

Evidence depth
Financial-only

0 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
65
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
81
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
98
strong · capital discipline
Results
63
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 59.9%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 0.6%.
  • ROCE is 26%.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹162.35
-622.9% MoS
DCF Fair PE
42.0
DCF Fair Value
₹629.16
-86.5% MoS
PEG
0.94

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
78.30
P/B
14.96
EV/EBITDA
44.13
Market Cap
19326.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
27.00%
ROCE
28.40%
ROA
10.61%
Dividend Y

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
41.00%
EPS 5Y
52.00%
Revenue 3Y
65.00%
EPS 3Y
130.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.24
Interest Coverage
9.52×
Altman Z
8.29
Book Value
78.20

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
2/5
OCF
205.00 Cr
EPS TTM
14.98

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
59.86%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
75%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.