IP
IndiaPulse

SOBHA

Large Cap

Sobha Limited

Real Estate

Sobha Limited is an Indian real estate developer primarily focused on residential projects. The company also operates backward integrated non-real estate businesses including manufacturing, contracting, and retail, which support its core real estate operations and ensure quality delivery. Key markets include Bangalore and NCR.

₹1,304
+11.30 · +0.87%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend argues for patience, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
30

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
66

low confidence · 0/6 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
42

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
72

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Excellent · 77/100

Rev +60% YoY · PAT +124% YoY · +111% QoQ · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 31 Mar 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,988 Cr+60.2%+110.8%
EBITDA₹152 Cr+61.7%+289.7%
Operating margin8.0%+0 bps+400 bps
PAT₹92 Cr+124.4%+513.3%
PAT margin4.6%+133 bps+304 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T18:38:09.815Z
Management commentary snapshot

Sobha Limited achieved record FY26 real estate sales of INR 8,136 crores, a 30% YoY growth, with strong collections and a net cash positive position. Q4 FY26 saw improved revenue recognition and margins driven by delayed occupancy certificates.

Management delivered record sales and collections, achieving a net cash position and building a robust launch pipeline. While some launches were delayed, the company expects significant margin expansion in H2 FY27 from nearing completion projects. Sustenance sales remain good, but the pace of new launch conversions and commodity price impacts warrant monitoring.

Current business mix

Annual Sales by Geography (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
Bangalore55.2%
NCR30.1%
Kerala9.8%
Other Regions4.9%
Growth engines

Robust Launch Pipeline

The company plans to launch about 10 million square feet in FY27 across Bangalore, Gurgaon, Hyderabad, Thrissur, and Pune, with a total pipeline of 20.67 million square feet for the next 6-8 quarters.

Geographic Expansion

Expansion into Greater Noida contributed to NCR's highest-ever annual sales. The company is actively pursuing new opportunities in Hyderabad and Mumbai.

Margin Expansion from Project Completions

Projects nearing completion and expected to be recognized in the next 12 months are likely to deliver higher margins in the range of 24% to 26%, a significant improvement from this year.

Backward Integrated Model

Non-real estate businesses (manufacturing, contracting, retail) continue to perform steadily, strengthening the backward integrated model and ensuring consistent delivery of quality.

Capacity and execution

FY27 Planned Launches

The company plans to launch approximately 10 million square feet in FY27 across Bangalore, Gurgaon, Hyderabad, Thrissur, and Pune.

Gurgaon Project Launch

SOBHA Crescent Phase 1 in Gurgaon was successfully launched in April '26 and has received a good response, with about 50% of sales achieved.

Hoskote Project Launch

Phase 1 of the Hoskote project (5.3 million square feet residential, GDV ~INR 7,000 crores) is expected to launch in Q1 FY27, with RERA approvals anticipated in Q1.

Mumbai Deal Pipeline

The company is pursuing two projects in MMR (one redevelopment, one land acquisition) with a combined GDV of about INR 2,000 crores, expected to conclude this year.

Tailwinds

Robust Demand in Key Markets

Bangalore and NCR regions recorded their highest-ever annual sales, contributing 85% of total sales. Demand for projects below INR 3 crores ticket size remains robust.

Strong Interest in Large Developments

Large communities are a differentiating factor for customers in cities like Bangalore, attracting good interest in projects like Hoskote.

Renewed Investor Interest

The Kerala market is seeing slightly better inquiry flow, with potential for renewed interest in India from Middle East investors.

Headwinds

Geopolitical Uncertainty

Geopolitical events are causing uncertainty in the macro environment, though current ground reality for demand appears stable.

Commodity Price Increases

Significant, short-term price increases in some commodities and materials are a dynamic situation, with the full impact on margins yet to be estimated.

Labor Shortage

The industry faced a brief interruption in labor availability due to elections in four states, which is expected to stabilize.

Risk radar

Impact of AI on IT/ITeS Sector

Concerns exist regarding the impact of AI on the IT/ITeS sector, which constitutes a large part of the client base, though no significant slowdown is currently observed.

Ability to Pass on Cost Increases

The ability to offset commodity price increases through corresponding price hikes depends on the demand-supply situation, which is currently a wait-and-watch mode.

Project Launch Execution

Some planned launches were delayed in FY26 due to multiple factors, highlighting execution risk for the ambitious FY27 launch pipeline.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY comparison is crucial for assessing overall annual growth in sales, collections, and deliveries, reflecting the long-term nature of real estate cycles. QoQ comparison is relevant for tracking sequential momentum in revenue recognition and margin improvement, especially when specific events like occupancy certificate receipts impact quarterly results.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Real Estate Sales Value

FY26 real estate sales reached an all-time high of INR 8,136 crores, reflecting a 30% growth over the previous year. The company achieved a consistent average quarterly run rate of approximately INR 2,000 crores.

Average Price Realization

Average price realization for FY26 was INR 14,675 per square foot, a 9.4% growth compared to INR 13,412 per square foot in the previous year.

Collections (All Businesses)

Total collections for FY26 were INR 7,798 crores, recording a healthy 26.1% growth over the last financial year. Q4 collections were INR 1,990 crores.

Project Launches (Area)

The company launched about 6.04 million square feet during FY26. Some planned launches were delayed due to multiple factors.

Management forward view

Sustained Sales Growth

Management expects to grow at a similar rate as last year, targeting approximately 30% growth in sales for FY27.

FY27 Operating Cash Flow Target

The company is aiming for net operating cash flow close to INR 2,000 crores in FY27.

Focus on Financial Discipline

Priority remains to strengthen the balance sheet, improve cash flow, and maintain speedy execution, with land investments funded through operating cash flow.

Long-Term Value Creation

Management believes Sobha is well-positioned for sustained long-term value creation, underpinned by strong operating momentum and high visibility across P&L, cash flow, and land availability.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Presales Growth30% in FY26 (INR 8,136 crores)Sustained 30% growth in FY27, reaching approximately INR 10,500 crores.
Net Operating Cash FlowINR 1,637 crores in FY26Achievement of the target close to INR 2,000 crores in FY27.
EBITDA Margin ExpansionFY26 EBITDA INR 503 croresSignificant improvement in margins, particularly in Q3 and Q4 FY27, driven by project completions.
Project Launch Cadence6.04 million sq ft launched in FY26Successful launch of approximately 10 million square feet in FY27 as planned.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Show extracted source claims
capex timelinenot yet verifiablequantified

Forthcoming projects are expected to be launched over the next 6-8 quarters.

Timeframe: next 6-8 quartersConfidence: expected

"expected to be launched over next 6-8 quarters"

cash flow improvementnot yet verifiablequantified

Forthcoming projects are projected to generate a marginal cashflow of ₹73.09 Bn.

Direction: increase

"Marginal Cashflow – Forthcoming Projects ₹ Bn 73.09"

project executionnot yet verifiablequantified

The developable land bank has a development potential of 42.79 Mn sft SBA.

Timeframe: long-term

"Development Potential (SBA in Mn sft) 42.79"

revenue outlooknot yet verifiablequantified

Balance revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till December 31, 2025, is ₹186.06 Bn.

Timeframe: future (beyond Dec 31, 2025)Direction: increase

"Balance revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till 31 December 2025 was ₹186.06 Bn"

operational efficiencynot yet verifiable

Multiple initiatives are rolled out to reduce cost, improve efficiency & productivity through increase in use of automation and adapting new technologies.

Direction: improve

"Multiple initiatives rolled out to reduce cost, improve efficiency & productivity"

project executionnot yet verifiable

The company aims to scale up its project delivery sustainably.

Direction: increase

"scale up our project delivery sustainably"

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

42Neutral

SMA20 -4.2% / mo

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS:

Technical chart

SOBHAweekly · 3Y-18.3%
Latest close ₹1300.40 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-2.1%
RSI
40
MACD hist
-5.49
52W pos
29%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹1.1k₹1.2k₹1.4k₹1.6k₹1.7k52H52L2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2024-112025-042025-102026-032026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend unclear. RSI 40.

  • SMA20 falling (~4.4% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 40 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 24% off 52W high · 15% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

30U-SCORE
Distress Watch

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation2/30
Growth15/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet4/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
6/9 (+3)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
30

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

30/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Growth contributes 15/25 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 6/10 to the score.
  • Balance sheet contributes 4/15 to the score.

Main drags

  • Altman Z is 1.3, in distress territory.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -118.4%.
  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Real estate valuation: NAV, pre-sales, debt, and inventory quality

Real estate valuation depends more on project economics and balance sheet than simple PE.

Real Estate NAV
Primary lens
NAV and market cap versus project pipeline and pre-sales.
Secondary checks
Inventory age, net debt, collections, execution record.
Main risk check
Book value can overstate value if inventory is slow or debt is high.
PE
71.8
PB
3.0
EV/EBITDA
35.9
ROE
4.2%
ROCE
6.9%
FCF Yield
2.4%
Debt/Equity
0.2
MoS
-118.4%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
30
Previous: 30
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-118.4%
Previous: -115.7%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
30

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
66Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 49th percentile of the scored universe and 73rd percentile within Real Estate. Main check: financial discipline is weak at 48/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: Altman Z is 1.30.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
104 docs indexed · 58 concall links
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
49th percentile

overall median 67 · Real Estate: 73rd pctile, median 61 · Large: 28th pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

104 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

6 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
55
watch · leverage and solvency
Discipline
48
watch · capital discipline
Results
72
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 2.4%.
  • 9 years of positive FCF.
  • 3/4 latest quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • Altman Z is 1.30.
  • ROCE is low at 6.9%.
  • ROE is low at 4.2%.
  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹423.67
-207.8% MoS
DCF Fair PE
33.0
DCF Fair Value
₹596.97
-118.4% MoS
PEG
2.97

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
71.80
P/B
2.95
EV/EBITDA
35.92
Market Cap
13887.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
4.17%
ROCE
6.90%
ROA
0.99%
Dividend Y
0.23%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
20.00%
EPS 5Y
25.00%
Revenue 3Y
16.00%
EPS 3Y
23.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.22
Interest Coverage
2.26×
Altman Z
1.30
Book Value
441.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
2.40%
FCF Positive Y
9/5
OCF
430.00 Cr
EPS TTM
18.09

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
52.88%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
28%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.