IP
IndiaPulse

SUBROS

Micro Cap

Subros Limited

Industrials

Established in 1985, Subros is India's largest Air Conditioning & Thermal Products company. A JV with Indian Promoters (36.79%), Denso (20%), Suzuki (11.96%), and Public (31.25%). Manufactures thermal products for auto (Car, Bus, Truck, Tractor, Reefer, Railways) and non-auto (Home AC) segments. Operates 8 plants, a Technical Centre, and a Tool Engineering Centre.

₹731.1
+27.90 · +3.97%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Investable fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
UNDERVALUED
61

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
77

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
45

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
consistent
87

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Average · 42/100

margin compression · Rev +16% YoY · PAT +7% YoY · +11% QoQ

Filed 18 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,050 Cr+15.6%+10.8%
EBITDA₹92 Cr-1.1%+13.6%
Operating margin9.0%-100 bps+0 bps
PAT₹49 Cr+6.5%+40.0%
PAT margin4.7%-40 bps+98 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T14:10:48.900Z
Management commentary snapshot

Subros reported highest ever Q4 FY26 revenue of Rs. 1049.76 Cr, up 15.55% YoY and 10.77% QoQ. Full-year FY26 revenue grew 11.52% YoY to Rs. 3755.52 Cr. Q4 EBITDA grew 0.84% YoY but 14.77% QoQ. Full-year EBITDA grew 5.77% YoY. PBT and PAT also showed growth, but Q4 YoY EBITDA growth was minimal despite revenue.

While revenue growth is strong, Q4 FY26 EBITDA growth YoY was negligible (0.84%) despite 15.55% revenue growth, indicating significant margin pressure from material costs and product mix. Full-year EBITDA growth also lagged revenue. Management attributes this to adverse commodity/currency movement and product mix changes, partially offset by cost optimization. Sustained margin pressure could impact profitability.

Growth engines

PV Segment Thermal Business Growth

PV Segment Thermal business growth is 19% (Q4 FY26 vs Q4 FY25).

New Business Awards

New business awarded for future programs from various customers, including electric compressor, HVAC & HX for forthcoming platforms and railway segment.

Green Mobility

To realize business opportunities in Green Mobility i.e. EV, SHEV, CNG etc.

Business Expansion in CV Segment

Company growth aligned to industry growth in all segments, with specific focus on CV Segment (Bus, rail, Truck, Tractor).

Capacity and execution

Kharkhoda Plant

Greenfield project for new capacities and product of electric Compressor & FDC Capacity Expansion.

Karsanpura Plant Expansion

Expansion for new capacities and product of electric Compressor & FDC Capacity Expansion. SOP of Fronx started from Karsanpura plant in Q4.

Karsanpura Plant Expansion (Future)

Expansion for localization of Electric Compressor and New capacity of FDC Compressor, target SOP in 2027-28.

Tailwinds

Market Demand

Highest ever Revenue reported for Rs. 1049.76 Cr. in quarter 4 of FY26 due to market demand.

Accrued Incentive Income

Accrued incentive income of Rs 15.48 Cr contributed to EBITDA and PBT growth in FY26.

Positive MTM on Currency

Other Income is higher due to positive MTM on currency reinstatement in Q4 FY26.

Headwinds

High Material Cost

High material cost due to adverse commodity/currency movement and product mix change impacted EBITDA.

Employee Cost Increase

Employee Cost is higher due to annual salary/wage revision.

One-time Gratuity Impact

One time impact of Rs. 8.08 Cr on account of gratuity & leave encashment under new labour code in FY26.

Risk radar

Forward Looking Statements

Presentation might contain forward looking statements which involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially.

Commodity/Currency Volatility

Adverse commodity/Currency movement continues to impact material costs and margins.

Product Mix Changes

Product Mix change has an adverse impact on material costs and margins.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

The company provides both YoY and QoQ comparisons for Q4, and full-year YoY. YoY is crucial for assessing annual performance and seasonal trends, while QoQ highlights sequential momentum, execution, and immediate operational efficiency changes, especially relevant for a manufacturing business with new project SOPs.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue from Operation (FY26)

Rs. 3755.52 Cr, up 11.52% YoY.

Revenue from Operation (Q4 FY26)

Rs. 1049.76 Cr, up 15.55% YoY and 10.77% QoQ.

EBITDA (FY26)

Rs. 362.93 Cr, up 5.77% YoY. EBITDA % to Net Sales 9.70% (FY26) vs 10.22% (FY25).

EBITDA (Q4 FY26)

Rs. 100.07 Cr, up 0.84% YoY and 14.77% QoQ. EBITDA % to Net Sales 9.57% (Q4 FY26) vs 10.96% (Q4 FY25).

Management forward view

Technology Upgrade

Technology upgrade to meet regulatory changes (BSVI, RDE, CAFÉ etc.).

Cost Optimization

Cost Optimization by improvement in Operational Efficiencies.

Human Skill Development

Human Skill development and Organization structure to meet Future requirement.

ESG Goals

ESG goals to meet future sustainability and social requirements.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
EBITDA Margin9.57% (Q4 FY26), 9.70% (FY26)Watch for stabilization or improvement in EBITDA margin, given persistent material cost pressures.
New Project SOPsFronx SOP started in Q4 FY26, 1 new project in pipeline for Q1 FY24 (likely Q1 FY27 based on document date), EV business awarded in 2022-23 in development. Karsanpura FDC Compressor SOP target 2027-28.Monitor successful commissioning and ramp-up of new projects, especially EV and FDC compressor capacities, and their contribution to revenue and profitability.
Material Cost % to Net Sales74.14% (Q4 FY26), 73.12% (FY26)Track trends in material cost as a percentage of sales, indicating effectiveness of cost optimization and hedging strategies against commodity/currency volatility.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

45Neutral

SMA20 -7.3% / mo

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

SUBROSweekly · 3Y+10.8%
Latest close ₹730.00 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+2.1%
RSI
47
MACD hist
3.84
52W pos
20%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹515₹687₹859₹1.0k₹1.2k52H52L2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2024-112025-042025-102026-032026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 47. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 falling (~7.9% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 47 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal, histogram expanding — bullish momentum building.
  • 38% off 52W high · 17% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

61U-SCORE
Financial Turnaround

Fundamental score breakdown

UNDERVALUED
Valuation10/30
Growth22/25
Quality9/20
Balance Sheet10/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
1
Raw sum
61

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

61/100 · UNDERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 36.0%.
  • Growth contributes 22/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Valuation is weaker at 10/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 4/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Quality is weaker at 9/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
27.7
PB
3.8
EV/EBITDA
10.7
ROE
14.7%
ROCE
19.8%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
+36.0%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
61
Previous: 62 (-1)
Verdict
UNDERVALUED
Previous: UNDERVALUED
Margin of safety
+36.0%
Previous: +38.4%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
61
59
62
62
61
61
61
61
61
61
61
62

Factor attribution

Valuation
10-1
was 11
Trust Score
77Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 85th percentile of the scored universe and 84th percentile within Industrials. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero.

Computed 22 May 2026
trust-lite-v1
0 docs indexed · 0 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
85th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 84th pctile, median 68 · Micro: 74th pctile, median 71

Evidence depth
Financial-only

0 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
87
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 9 years of positive FCF.
  • Debt/equity is 0.02.
  • 8/8 recent quarters had positive YoY revenue growth.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹330.32
-121.3% MoS
DCF Fair PE
45.0
DCF Fair Value
₹1,142.55
+36.0% MoS
PEG
0.71

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
27.70
P/B
3.82
EV/EBITDA
10.66
Market Cap
4756.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
14.70%
ROCE
19.80%
ROA
7.78%
Dividend Y
0.36%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
16.00%
EPS 5Y
29.00%
Revenue 3Y
10.00%
EPS 3Y
54.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.02
Interest Coverage
32.40×
Altman Z
6.48
Book Value
191.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
9/5
OCF
105.00 Cr
EPS TTM
25.39

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
36.79%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
18%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
No data

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.