IP
IndiaPulse

TEXRAIL

Micro Cap

Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited

Industrials

Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited is a leading provider of rail and infrastructure solutions, offering manufacturing, engineering, rail systems, and technology-driven services. The company is expanding capabilities and diversifying into new growth areas.

₹105.37
+2.33 · +2.26%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Mixed fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is weak.

Suggested next step
Check latest quarters
Result consistency is weak; verify whether the thesis is improving or deteriorating.
U-Score
FAIR VALUE
55

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Mixed Trust
69

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
45

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
weak
49

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Average · 50/100

Rev -13% YoY · PAT +49% YoY · margin expansion · +12% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 12 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,167 Cr-13.3%+12.0%
EBITDA₹106 Cr+8.2%+19.1%
Operating margin9.0%+200 bps+0 bps
PAT₹58 Cr+48.7%+38.1%
PAT margin5.0%+207 bps+94 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis under stressReviewed 2026-06-03T14:26:21.718Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 revenue declined 13.3% YoY to INR1,167 crores, with full-year revenue down 14% YoY to INR4,377 crores, impacted by challenging market conditions and supply chain issues. Despite revenue drop, Q4 EBITDA improved 1.2% YoY to INR116 crores (10% margin) and PAT increased 206 bps YoY to INR58 crores (5% margin).

The company's core rail business faced significant headwinds in FY26, leading to revenue decline. Management's 'Texmaco 2.0' vision for diversification into defense, digital, and passenger mobility is strategic but nascent. The large South African order is a positive, but its execution and margin profile need close monitoring, especially given the qualified audit report and contingency provision.

Current business mix

Wagon Order Book by Customer Type

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 2 reported categories.

Businessmix
Private70.0%
Indian Railways30.0%
Growth engines

Infra (Electrification) Business

Grew 66% to INR610 crores revenue with 10.8% EBIT margin, showing phenomenal growth for days to come.

Synergistic Diversification

Focus on passenger mobility, railway safety network, propulsion, power electronics, and signaling systems like Kavach and electronic interlocking.

Breakout Diversification - Defense

Chosen defense as part of breakout diversification, with INR200 crores capex approved for the business.

Breakout Diversification - Digital Business

Launched Invariz.ai platform powered by ServiceNow, integrating AI to provide services globally, starting with rail solutions and CRM.

Capacity and execution

Defense Business Capex

The Board has approved INR200 crores capex for the defense business.

Overall Capex Plan

The company envisages a total capex of INR1,500 crores till 2030 for new business segments.

Tailwinds

Indian Railway Demand

Indian Railway order portfolio is poised to come, with expectations of 1.5 lakh to 2 lakh wagons in the near term.

Private Sector Investment

Government is encouraging private companies to invest in the rail system, with traction from cement, steel, and automobile sectors.

Railway Modernization

There is huge global traction for the modernization of railway networks, signaling safety systems, propulsion technologies, metro, and urban mobility.

Headwinds

Challenging Market Conditions

Challenging marketing conditions and global supply chain disruptions hampered performance.

Wheel Set Availability

Supply chain issues with a special emphasis on the availability of wheel sets hampered performance in Q1 FY26.

US Tariffs

Imposition of U.S. tariffs destabilized strong business with the U.S., adversely affecting volume.

Geopolitical Tension

Ongoing geopolitical tension and trade uncertainties led to large contracts not meeting expected outcomes.

Risk radar

Contingency Provision

Created a provision for contingencies of INR700 crores from free reserves as a risk mitigation measure against unforeseen circumstances.

Auditor Qualification

Statutory auditors qualified their report due to the contingency provision being adjusted against free reserves instead of the P&L account.

Project Claims

Huge amounts of claims for our projects are pending, which takes time to realize.

Cyclicality of Core Business

Overdependence on the cyclical wagon industry is a concern, driving diversification efforts.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

YoY is crucial for assessing overall revenue and profitability trends in a cyclical, project-based business. QoQ is relevant for evaluating sequential operational efficiency improvements, such as the reported decrease in direct expenses.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Order Inflow

Secured a South African order of INR4,000+ crores for 2,200 wagons, 30 diesel locomotives, and 15-year maintenance.

Order Book

Wagon order book is around 70% from private customers.

Execution

Delivered 2,196 freight cars in Q4 FY26 and 8,372 for the full year, which was lower than last year's record.

Margin

Q4 FY26 EBITDA margin was 10% and PAT margin was 5%. Full year FY26 EBITDA margin was 10.2% and PAT margin was 4.4%.

Management forward view

Vision 2030

Aims to grow top line at least 2x and achieve mid-teen EBITDA percentages and above, with a 'Texmaco 2.0' transformation journey.

Strategic Diversification

Reducing dependence on the cyclical wagon industry by moving into EPC projects, railway-related adjacencies, defense, and digital business.

Financial Stability

Focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, driving cost optimization, and reducing leverage to support growth aspirations.

Global Ambition

Proud to be an Indian company coming up as a global solution provider with technology backup.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Wagon Order Inflow from Indian RailwaysNo bids called out yet, but management expects 1.5-2 lakh wagons in near term.Announcement of large wagon tenders and their timing, which could significantly boost the order book.
South African Order ExecutionINR4,000+ crores order received, with delivery expected by FY28 end.Revenue booking trajectory, details on locomotive production, and clarity on raw material cost pass-through mechanisms.
Diversification Progress (Defense & Digital)INR200 crores capex approved for defense; Invariz.ai platform launched.First commercial orders in defense, progress on technology tie-ups, and market traction for Invariz.ai services.
Contingency Provision ResolutionINR700 crores provision from free reserves, leading to a qualified audit report.Management's ability to realize significant pending claims and potential savings from the provision, and auditor's stance in future reports.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

45Neutral

SMA20 -8.0% / mo

Stock trend: 42
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

TEXRAILweekly · 5Y-51.9%
Latest close ₹105.37 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+1.0%
RSI
46
MACD hist
0.71
52W pos
27%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹70₹113₹155₹197₹24052H52L2024-122025-032025-062025-092025-122026-03Vol2024-112025-042025-102026-032026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 46. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 falling (~8.7% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 46 — rising, no extreme reading.
  • MACD above signal but histogram contracting — bullish momentum cooling.
  • 42% off 52W high · 35% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

55U-SCORE
Growth at Value

Fundamental score breakdown

FAIR VALUE
Valuation14/30
Growth22/25
Quality0/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
55

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

55/100 · FAIR VALUE

Positive drivers

  • FCF yield is supportive at 3.1%.
  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is positive at 51.2%.

Main drags

  • Quality is weaker at 0/20; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Valuation is weaker at 14/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Balance sheet is weaker at 8/15; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Execution business valuation: EV/EBITDA plus order and working-capital risk

Capital-intensive execution stories need cash-flow and balance-sheet checks alongside valuation.

Execution EV/EBITDA
Primary lens
EV/EBITDA and PE against execution quality and margin stability.
Secondary checks
Order book, receivables, working capital, debt, operating cash flow.
Main risk check
Order wins matter only if they convert into cash and margins.
PE
21.2
PB
1.8
EV/EBITDA
11.6
ROE
7.6%
ROCE
11.4%
FCF Yield
3.1%
Debt/Equity
0.4
MoS
+51.2%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
55
Previous: 55
Verdict
FAIR VALUE
Previous: FAIR VALUE
Margin of safety
+51.2%
Previous: +52.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
69Mixed Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Mixed Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 61st percentile of the scored universe and 58th percentile within Industrials. Main check: results consistency is weak at 49/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero. Key concern: 2 recent quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 22 May 2026
trust-lite-v1
0 docs indexed · 0 concall links
Score band
Mixed Trust

Usable, but needs evidence. Treat guidance with a margin of safety.

Relative rank
61st percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 58th pctile, median 68 · Micro: 44th pctile, median 71

Evidence depth
Financial-only

0 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Mixed Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
73
acceptable · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
49
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 3%.
  • 5 years of positive FCF.
  • OPM spread across recent quarters is 3%.

Trust risks

  • 2 recent quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.
  • ROE is low at 7.6%.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹79.42
-32.7% MoS
DCF Fair PE
45.0
DCF Fair Value
₹216
+51.2% MoS
PEG
0.26

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
21.20
P/B
1.76
EV/EBITDA
11.64
Market Cap
4192.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
7.63%
ROCE
11.40%
ROA
3.84%
Dividend Y
0.73%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
21.00%
EPS 5Y
69.00%
Revenue 3Y
25.00%
EPS 3Y
97.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.38
Interest Coverage
3.17×
Altman Z
2.87
Book Value
58.40

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
3.15%
FCF Positive Y
5/5
OCF
363.00 Cr
EPS TTM
4.80

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
48.34%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
23%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 1,653-27.5% vs prev
04423Mar 2026: 4,423Mar 2025: 4,331Mar 2024: 3,587Mar 2023: 2,281Mar 2022: 1,653FY26FY25FY24FY23FY22

Net Profit

₹ Cr
No data

Return on Equity

%
No data
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.