IP
IndiaPulse

THERMAX

Large Cap

Thermax Limited

Industrials

Thermax Limited is a global provider of sustainable solutions in energy and environment, with 18 manufacturing locations and sales/service presence in 30+ countries. It offers industrial products, infrastructure, green solutions, and chemicals, serving diverse sectors globally.

₹4,739.9
+43.50 · +0.93%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
OVERVALUED
30

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
74

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
56

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
68

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Good · 70/100

Rev +13% YoY · PAT +18% YoY · margin expansion · +30% QoQ · operating leverage

Filed 07 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹3,428 Cr+12.5%+30.1%
EBITDA₹374 Cr+24.7%+46.7%
Operating margin11.0%+100 bps+100 bps
PAT₹244 Cr+18.4%+19.0%
PAT margin7.1%+36 bps-66 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T18:45:23.200Z
Management commentary snapshot

Thermax reported robust Q4 FY26 with Order Booking up 112% YoY to Rs. 4,490 crore, driven by a large thermal power plant order. Revenue grew 13% YoY to Rs. 3,428 crore, and PAT increased 18% YoY to Rs. 244 crore, supported by improved Industrial Products and reduced Industrial Infra losses.

Strong Q4 order booking, particularly in Industrial Infra, and improved segment profitability suggest execution momentum. The large order book provides revenue visibility, while new sectors like data centers offer future growth. However, input cost volatility and project overruns in Green Solutions warrant monitoring.

Growth engines

Thermal Power Projects

Secured a boiler package order for a 1 x 800 MW ultra supercritical thermal power plant, valued at ~Rs. 1,600 crore.

Data Centres

Secured breakthrough order of multiple hot water driven chillers (45,000 TR combined capacity) for a large data centre in the USA.

Waste-to-Energy Solutions

Commissioned a 1 x 40 TPH waste-to-energy boiler in North India, operating on 100% RDF, NRSW, and biomass.

CBG Production

Achieved ~8,000 tonnes of CBG production in Q4 FY26 (19,400+ tonnes YTD), commissioning Reliance Akola and Nanded plants.

Capacity and execution

CBG Plants Commissioned

Commissioned Reliance Akola and Nanded plants, completing all 14 existing plants.

Jafrabad Hybrid Project Progress

9 of 21 WTGs installed, 40.8 MWp of 69.5 MWp module installation completed, EHV line and PSS charging completed.

Tailwinds

Sustained Manufacturing Growth

India’s manufacturing PMI remained in expansionary territory through Q4 FY26, indicating sustained factory growth.

Data Centres as New Sector

Data Centres are continuing as a new sector with tremendous future potential.

Headwinds

Input Commodity Price Volatility

High volatility in input commodity prices amid geopolitical instability, with steel prices rising ~20–25%.

Crude Oil & Non-Ferrous Metal Fluctuations

Crude oil fluctuations drove volatility in non-ferrous metals, further impacted by USD appreciation against INR.

Middle East Geopolitical Impact

The Middle East war impact will affect most industries in the short-medium term, causing raw material cost escalation.

Risk radar

Geopolitical Risks

Business risks associated with the volatile global economic environment and political conditions.

Raw Material Volatility & Supply Disruptions

Faced supply disruptions and raw material volatility due to Middle East crises, impacting chemicals business.

Project Overrun Costs

Green Solutions business incurred project overrun costs during the quarter, impacting margins.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Q4 results provide a full-year perspective, making YoY essential for assessing annual growth and profitability trends. QoQ is also crucial for tracking sequential momentum in order booking, execution, and segment-wise performance, especially given project-based nature of some businesses.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Order Booking (Q4 FY26)

Rs. 4,490 crore, up 112% YoY.

Order Balance (Q4 FY26)

Rs. 13,604 crore, up 27% YoY.

Revenue (Q4 FY26)

Rs. 3,428 crore, up 13% YoY.

PBT Before Exceptional Items and Tax % (Q4 FY26)

9.7% (vs 9.8% YoY, 8.7% QoQ).

Management forward view

Order Book Growth Drivers

Order booking and balance for the current year is higher primarily driven by improved performance in Industrial Products and Industrial Infra segments.

Profit Improvement Factors

Profit for the qtr. has improved due to better performance by Industrial Products and reduced losses in Industrial Infra.

Green Solutions Reporting Change

TOESL adopted a rolling 12-month forecast model for reporting its order book, replacing earlier practice of reporting only first year’s revenue.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Industrial Infra ProfitabilityQ4 FY26 PBIT % at 6.5%.Sustained improvement in operational efficiency and reduced losses in Industrial Infra entities.
Green Solutions MarginsQ4 FY26 PBIT at (Rs. 29) crore due to project overruns.Mitigation of project overrun costs and return to profitability in Green Solutions.
Order Book ExecutionOrder Balance Rs. 13,604 crore.Consistent revenue recognition from the strong order book, especially the large power project.
Input Cost ManagementSteel prices rising ~20-25%, crude oil fluctuations.Effective price revisions and supply assurance to mitigate raw material volatility.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

56Neutral

SMA20 +50.1% / mo · near 52W high

Stock trend: 60
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

THERMAXdaily · 3Y+49.6%
Latest close ₹4739.90 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-0.4%
RSI
58
MACD hist
-19.23
52W pos
86%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹2.6k₹3.3k₹3.9k₹4.6k₹5.2k52H52L2025-122026-03Vol2025-112026-012026-022026-042026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 58. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 rising (~10.2% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 58 — falling, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 7% off 52W high · 73% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

30U-SCORE
OVERVALUED

Fundamental score breakdown

OVERVALUED
Valuation0/30
Growth12/25
Quality2/20
Balance Sheet8/15
Cash Flow4/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
-1
Raw sum
30

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

30/100 · OVERVALUED

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 8/15 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 12/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Penalty bucket subtracts 1 points.
  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -74.2%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
83.6
PB
10.2
EV/EBITDA
47.7
ROE
12.9%
ROCE
14.9%
FCF Yield
Debt/Equity
0.4
MoS
-74.2%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
30
Previous: 31 (-1)
Verdict
OVERVALUED
Previous: OVERVALUED
Margin of safety
-74.2%
Previous: -72.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +1 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
31
31
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
31

Factor attribution

Penalties
-1-1
was 0
Trust Score
74Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 76th percentile of the scored universe and 72nd percentile within Industrials. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 62%. Key concern: 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
106 docs indexed · 52 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
76th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 72nd pctile, median 68 · Large: 52nd pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

106 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
67
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
89
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
68
acceptable · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 62%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • 7 years of positive FCF.
  • 3/4 latest quarters had positive YoY PAT growth.

Trust risks

  • 1 of the latest 4 quarters had PAT decline worse than 25% YoY.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹796.26
-495.3% MoS
DCF Fair PE
45.0
DCF Fair Value
₹2,721.15
-74.2% MoS
PEG
4.31

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
83.60
P/B
10.17
EV/EBITDA
47.74
Market Cap
56564.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
12.90%
ROCE
14.90%
ROA
5.42%
Dividend Y
0.30%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
17.00%
EPS 5Y
23.00%
Revenue 3Y
10.00%
EPS 3Y
14.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.42
Interest Coverage
7.38×
Altman Z
6.18
Book Value
466.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
FCF Positive Y
7/5
OCF
542.00 Cr
EPS TTM
60.47

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
61.99%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
86%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 10.7k+2.9% vs prev
011kMar 2017: 4,483Mar 2018: 4,465Mar 2019: 5,973Mar 2020: 5,731Mar 2021: 4,791Mar 2022: 6,128Mar 2023: 8,090Mar 2024: 9,323Mar 2025: 10.4kMar 2026: 10.7kFY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 720+14.8% vs prev
0720.0Mar 2017: 216Mar 2018: 231Mar 2019: 325Mar 2020: 212Mar 2021: 207Mar 2022: 312Mar 2023: 451Mar 2024: 643Mar 2025: 627Mar 2026: 720FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 13.0+2.1% vs prev
014.5Mar 2017: 8.5%Mar 2018: 8.5%Mar 2019: 10.8%Mar 2020: 7.0%Mar 2021: 6.4%Mar 2022: 8.9%Mar 2023: 11.7%Mar 2024: 14.5%Mar 2025: 12.7%Mar 2026: 13.0%FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.