IP
IndiaPulse

TIMKEN

Large Cap

Timken India Limited

Industrials

Timken India Limited manufactures and trades tapered roller bearings, spherical roller bearings, and plain bearings. It serves core industrial segments, mobile applications, rail, and the aftermarket, with significant domestic sales and exports. The company is expanding its manufacturing capabilities in India.

₹3,529.9
-45.00 · -1.26%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals08 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is acceptable, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is mixed.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
37

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
71

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
56

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
mixed
55

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Excellent · 77/100

Rev +60% YoY · PAT +103% YoY · +40% QoQ · operating leverage · margin compression

Filed 18 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,090 Cr+59.6%+39.7%
EBITDA₹242 Cr+13.1%+139.6%
Operating margin22.0%-100 bps+900 bps
PAT₹158 Cr+102.6%+187.3%
PAT margin14.5%-548 bps+745 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T18:45:44.909Z
Management commentary snapshot

Q4 FY26 revenue crossed INR1,000 crores for the first time, growing 14.2% YoY. Full-year FY26 standalone revenue grew 8.6% YoY to INR31,478 million, with PBT up 3%. Consolidated revenue for FY26 was INR34,780 million.

Management delivered healthy revenue growth driven by strong industrial demand, project execution, and momentum in both domestic and export markets. The Bharuch plant ramp-up and Jamshedpur rail expansion are progressing. However, significant cost pressures and the lag in passing on price hikes pose near-term margin risks, which the company is actively addressing.

Current business mix

Revenue by Segment (FY26)

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 5 reported categories.

Businessmix
Rail23.0%
Mobile (CV & Tractors)20.0%
Distribution (Industrial & Aftermarket)17.0%
Process Industry19.0%
Intercompany (Exports)21.0%
Growth engines

Core Industrial Segments

Strong demand in core industrial segments continues to drive healthy revenue growth.

Domestic and Export Momentum

Good momentum seen in both domestic and export markets, with North America gaining traction.

Bharuch Plant Ramp-up

New Bharuch plant lines capitalized, with smaller lines running full and large line PPAPs underway, contributing INR80 crores revenue in FY26.

Jamshedpur Rail Expansion

Investment towards rail expansion in Jamshedpur continues to remain broadly on track, targeting production by November/December.

Capacity and execution

Bharuch Plant Utilization

All lines at the new Bharuch plant have been capitalized. Smaller lines are running full, and large line PPAPs are happening. Management expects 70% utilization by July.

Jamshedpur Rail Expansion

INR120+ crores capex for rail expansion in Jamshedpur. Machines are getting shipped, and production is targeted by November/December. Asset turns are expected to be 2x.

Plain Bearing Expansion

Investment towards plain bearing expansion in Bharuch (post Timken GGB merger) continues to remain broadly on track.

Tailwinds

Stable Demand

Demand across most key segments continues to remain relatively stable despite global uncertainties.

Export Pull

There is a definite pull from the North American market, with Q4 FY26 exports up 40% QoQ and 66% YoY.

Robust CV Market

The commercial vehicle (CV) market is robust, showing a 22% QoQ jump in Q4 FY26 for the mobile segment.

Headwinds

Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Global conditions continue to remain uncertain with slower growth trends and geopolitical developments.

Cost Pressures

Significant cost pressures are observed, with input costs like steel, grinding wheels, and coolants going up, alongside currency deterioration.

Trade Tensions & Supply Chain

Trade tensions are very much present, and supply chain realignments are happening.

Risk radar

Lag in Cost Pass-through

Only 10% of cost increases have been passed on to customers so far; 90% needs to be achieved over the next two quarters, with customer resistance expected.

Volatility in Input Costs

Inflationary trends are beginning to be seen, with input costs going up, requiring active mitigation efforts.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

QoQ comparison is relevant for assessing sequential momentum, particularly with the Bharuch plant ramp-up and export growth. YoY comparison is crucial for evaluating overall business growth and margin trends against the previous year's performance in a manufacturing context.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue from Operations (Q4 FY26)

INR10,731 million, reflecting a 14.2% growth over the same period last year.

PBT Margin (Q4 FY26)

19.3%, improved by around 10 basis points over Q4 FY25 (excluding one-time adjustments).

Standalone Revenue (FY26)

INR31,478 million, representing an 8.6% growth over last year.

Standalone PBT (FY26)

INR5,304 million, almost a 3% increase over last year, with PBT margin at 15.5%.

Management forward view

Outgrow the Market

Management aspires to achieve revenue growth that is more than the market growth.

Cost Mitigation & Efficiency

Actively working on mitigation incentives through cost reduction activities, efficiencies, and customer engagement to recover cost increases.

Investment Philosophy

The company is debt-free with resources at hand and will not shy away from investing in good projects, including potential M&A or further range expansion.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
Bharuch Plant UtilizationSmaller lines running full, large line PPAPs underway.Reaching 70% utilization by July and continued ramp-up in subsequent months.
Cost Pass-through10% of cost increases passed on.Achieving the remaining 90% pass-through over the next two quarters.
Jamshedpur Rail ExpansionOn track for production by November/December.Successful commissioning and initial production of rail bearings by year-end.
Overall Revenue GrowthFY26 standalone revenue grew 8.6%.Management's stated goal of outgrowing the market in FY27.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

56Neutral

SMA20 +13.3% / mo

Stock trend: 59
Sector RS: 51
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

TIMKENweekly · 1Y+6.8%
Latest close ₹3538.20 on 2026-06-09
Bar
-1.7%
RSI
53
MACD hist
-19.91
52W pos
76%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹2.8k₹3.0k₹3.3k₹3.6k₹3.8k52H52L2025-092025-122026-03Vol2025-062025-102026-012026-052026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Mixed signals

Signals are conflicting — long-term trend unclear. RSI 53. Wait for confirmation.

  • SMA20 rising (~11.7% over last month) — short-term momentum positive.
  • RSI(14) at 53 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 6% off 52W high · 26% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

37U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation0/30
Growth11/25
Quality8/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow2/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
37

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

37/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 11/15 to the score.
  • Growth contributes 11/25 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -42.2%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Cash flow is weaker at 2/10; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Blended valuation: PE, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and balance-sheet checks

For this sector, IndiaPulse uses a blended lens rather than relying on a single valuation ratio.

Blended relative
Primary lens
PE, EV/EBITDA, margin of safety, and FCF yield together.
Secondary checks
ROE/ROCE, growth, cash conversion, leverage, promoter risk.
Main risk check
One cheap metric is not enough if quality or cash flow is weak.
PE
64.7
PB
9.2
EV/EBITDA
36.4
ROE
14.3%
ROCE
19.0%
FCF Yield
0.2%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-42.2%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
37
Previous: 37
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-42.2%
Previous: -43.3%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +2 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
35
36
37
37
37
37
37
37
35
35
35
37

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
71Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 67th percentile of the scored universe and 64th percentile within Industrials. Main check: results consistency is weak at 55/100.

Healthy Trust Lite: Promoter pledge is zero.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
41 docs indexed · 35 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
67th percentile

overall median 67 · Industrials: 64th pctile, median 68 · Large: 43rd pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

41 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Acceptable, but check the weakest sub-score before increasing exposure.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
78
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
65
acceptable · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
60
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
55
watch · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 0.2%.
  • Debt/equity is 0.01.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹693.04
-409.3% MoS
DCF Fair PE
45.0
DCF Fair Value
₹2,482.2
-42.2% MoS
PEG
4.83

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
64.70
P/B
9.24
EV/EBITDA
36.40
Market Cap
26845.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
14.30%
ROCE
19.00%
ROA
11.22%
Dividend Y
1.01%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
21.00%
EPS 5Y
21.00%
Revenue 3Y
2.00%
EPS 3Y
2.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.01
Interest Coverage
158.00×
Altman Z
8.86
Book Value
387.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
0.16%
FCF Positive Y
2/5
OCF
446.00 Cr
EPS TTM
55.16

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
51.05%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
79%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 3,478+8.8% vs prev
03478Mar 2025: 3,197Mar 2026: 3,478FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 415-10.2% vs prev
0462.0Mar 2025: 462Mar 2026: 415FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 14.2-10.7% vs prev
015.9Mar 2025: 15.9%Mar 2026: 14.2%FY25FY26
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.