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IndiaPulse

ZFCVINDIA

Large Cap

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited

Auto

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited (ZFCVINDIA), formerly WABCO India, is a market leader in commercial vehicle control systems with over six decades of presence. It operates 6 plants, 3 engineering centers, and a wide aftermarket network in India, offering conventional and advanced ACE (Autonomous, Connected, Electric) technologies.

₹14,309
+93.00 · +0.65%
Quote09 Jun, 10:02 am
Fundamentals09 Jun 2026 · screener
Score08 Jun, 11:00 pm · v4.2-nightly
Tags02 May 2026
Data confidence
Fresh enough for analysis
Investor decision lenses

One read, four checks

75+ is strong, 60-74 is usable, 45-59 is mixed, and below 45 needs caution. These are research lenses, not buy/sell instructions.

Weak fundamentals, management trust is supportive, price trend is neutral, and recent execution is consistent.

Suggested next step
Research, do not rush
The four lenses are not strongly aligned. Compare peers and wait for a cleaner setup.
U-Score
WATCHLIST
43

Fundamental lens: valuation, quality, growth, balance sheet, and cash flow.

Trust
Healthy Trust
82

low confidence · 0/0 claims checked

Technical
Neutral
52

Timing lens: price trend and sector relative strength.

Result consistency
stable
79

Rolling lens: recent quarterly delivery, not the latest single-result score.

Latest result

Quarter ended 31 Mar 2026

Average · 42/100

margin compression · Rev +14% YoY · PAT +15% YoY · +7% QoQ

Filed 13 May 2026
Open results browser →
MetricThis quarterYoYQoQ
Revenue₹1,155 Cr+14.1%+7.4%
EBITDA₹190 Cr+8.6%-4.5%
Operating margin16.0%-100 bps-300 bps
PAT₹146 Cr+15.0%+4.3%
PAT margin12.6%+9 bps-38 bps

NDF means not disclosed in the current structured filing feed. It is intentionally not treated as zero.

Business and thesis

Where growth can come from, and what can break the case

Thesis intactReviewed 2026-06-03T18:58:04.329Z
Management commentary snapshot

ZFCVINDIA reported robust FY26 performance with revenue up 9.2% YoY to INR 4,302 Cr and PAT up 12.0% YoY to INR 517 Cr, driven by strong OEM and aftermarket segments. Q4 FY26 also showed sequential growth in revenue and profitability.

The company demonstrates consistent financial growth and margin expansion, supported by strategic investments in advanced technologies like ADAS, ESC, and EV solutions. Strong market positioning and favorable regulatory tailwinds for safety and electrification underpin its long-term prospects.

Current business mix

FY26 Revenue by Segment

Latest issuer-disclosed distribution across 4 reported categories.

Businessmix
OEM45.9%
Aftermarket (AM)26.8%
Exports13.6%
Service Income + Other Income13.7%
Growth engines

Safety Regulations

Mandate for ADAS/ESC for M2, M3 & N2, N3 vehicles by October 2027 will drive adoption of safety technologies.

Infrastructure Boost

Strong momentum in infrastructure and construction sectors is driving demand for heavy-duty trucks and trailers.

EV Penetration

EV penetration in buses is expected to reach >30% by 2030, supported by government initiatives like PM E-Drive.

Aftermarket Expansion (SPARK)

The SPARK initiative is launching new aftermarket products like ADB Rotors, DEF, and Clutch Master Cylinders, with more in pipeline.

Capacity and execution

Oragadam Plant

The Oragadam Plant was inaugurated in February 2024, serving as a manufacturing hub for advanced products like e-comp, ESC, and ECUs.

ESC Test Track

An ESC Test Track was inaugurated in November 2024, providing in-house engineering infrastructure for system testing and homologation.

Tailwinds

Government Focus on Sustainable Mobility

Government push towards electrification through incentives is boosting EV penetration in buses and trucks.

GST Rationalization

Reduction in GST rates across segments has stimulated consumption and increased goods movement, positively influencing CV growth.

Safety Regulations

Government regulations and growing customer demand for safety are driving the adoption of safety technologies like ESC, ADAS, and EBS.

Momentum in Infra, Construction & Capital Goods

This momentum is leading to higher truck utilization, which in turn drives increased demand for heavy-duty trucks, tippers, and trailers.

Management accountability

What management said, and what results must prove

Issuer guidance and extracted claims are tracked against later reported outcomes. Treat these as management statements, not IndiaPulse forecasts.

Analyst reading lens
Compare BOTH

Annual comparison provides a clear view of overall growth and margin expansion over a full business cycle. Quarterly comparison is relevant to assess sequential momentum in OEM demand, aftermarket sales, and export performance.

Sector KPIs management disclosed

Revenue Growth (FY26)

Total revenue for FY26 was INR 4,302 Cr, representing a +9.2% increase compared to FY25.

EBITA Margin (FY26)

EBITA margin for FY26 was 19.3%, an increase of +0.6% points compared to FY25.

Exports Growth (FY26)

Exports revenue for FY26 was INR 584 Cr, showing a +15.5% increase compared to FY25.

EV Bus Sales India (FY26)

EV Bus Sales in India reached 4,993 units in FY26.

Management forward view

Leading ACE Solutions

Management aims to be a leading player in ACE (Autonomous, Connected, Electric) technologies and solutions, offering solutions for each technology path.

eMobility Transformation

The company plans to transform braking and air management technology from ICE to eMobility.

Increased Vehicle Automation

Management is focused on increasing vehicle automation to achieve higher safety and meet regulatory levels.

Tailored Indian Market Technology

The company's strategy is to bring advanced technology specifically tailored for the Indian Commercial Vehicle market.

Thesis monitor

Numbers and claims to verify in the next filings

CheckpointCurrent evidenceWhat to verify next
EV Penetration in Buses4,993 units sold in FY26.Progress towards the target of >30% EV penetration in buses by 2030 and ZFCVINDIA's market share in this segment.
ADAS/ESC Mandate AdoptionMandate for M2, M3 & N2, N3 by Oct 2027.OEM adoption rates of ADAS/ESC systems and ZFCVINDIA's ability to capture market share in these advanced safety solutions.
Aftermarket Product PipelineADB Rotors, DEF, Clutch Master Cylinders launched under SPARK.Successful launch and market acceptance of upcoming SPARK products like CV Brake Pads, Wheel Bearing Grease, and Reverse Parking Camera Solutions.
EBITA Margin19.3% in FY26.Sustained margin expansion, given ongoing investments in R&D and new capacities, and effective raw material cost management.

Verification checkpoints are IndiaPulse research interpretation, not investment advice.

Technical timing lens

Trend score and candlestick chart

52Neutral

SMA20 +1.0% / mo

Stock trend: 53
Sector RS: 52
Sector 3M: +0.4% vs Nifty +0.1%

Technical chart

ZFCVINDIAdaily · 6M-0.4%
Latest close ₹14309.00 on 2026-06-09
Bar
+0.1%
RSI
44
MACD hist
-49.99
52W pos
37%
Hover for OHLC, volume, and indicators. Use range buttons above the chart to zoom.
₹12.8k₹13.8k₹14.8k₹15.8k₹16.9k52H52L2025-122026-03Vol2025-122026-012026-032026-042026-06
Up bar
Down bar
Volume
Result date
SMA 50
RSI(14)

Technical trend read

Bearish setup

Trend is weak — long-term trend unclear. RSI 44.

  • SMA20 falling (~1.4% over last month) — short-term momentum negative.
  • RSI(14) at 44 — sideways, no extreme reading.
  • MACD below signal, histogram expanding negatively — bearish momentum building.
  • 14% off 52W high · 10% above 52W low.

Mechanical read from the price + indicator series above. Not a recommendation — technical setups can reverse without warning, especially around earnings and macro events.

Deep research

Valuation, score drivers, trust methodology, financials, and peers

Use these sections after reviewing the decision summary, latest result, thesis, management accountability, and technical timing above.

43U-SCORE
WATCHLIST

Fundamental score breakdown

WATCHLIST
Valuation0/30
Growth11/25
Quality10/20
Balance Sheet11/15
Cash Flow6/10
Piotroski
8/9 (+5)
Penalties
0
Raw sum
43

Why this score?

Top U-Score contributors and drags from the latest stored fundamentals.

43/100 · WATCHLIST

Positive drivers

  • Piotroski is strong at 8/9.
  • Balance sheet contributes 11/15 to the score.
  • Cash flow contributes 6/10 to the score.

Main drags

  • Fair-value margin of safety is negative at -59.0%.
  • Valuation is weaker at 0/30; verify the latest quarterly trend.
  • Growth is weaker at 11/25; verify the latest quarterly trend.
Sector valuation model

Consumer valuation: PE/PEG and brand-quality premium

Consumer franchises can deserve higher multiples, but only when growth quality supports them.

Consumer PE/PEG
Primary lens
PE and PEG relative to growth, ROE, margins, and brand strength.
Secondary checks
Volume growth, pricing power, distribution, same-store or category growth.
Main risk check
Premium valuation needs durable growth and margin resilience.
PE
51.9
PB
7.3
EV/EBITDA
34.5
ROE
15.2%
ROCE
20.3%
FCF Yield
0.4%
Debt/Equity
0.0
MoS
-59.0%
Score movement

Stored run vs live recompute

This shows the stored score trend when snapshots exist, and also compares the latest stored nightly score with a live recompute from current fundamentals and price.

Stored run: 08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
Final score
43
Previous: 43
Verdict
WATCHLIST
Previous: WATCHLIST
Margin of safety
-59.0%
Previous: -57.9%

Score history

12 stored score snapshots. Latest stored move: +0 points.

08 Jun 2026
v4.2-nightly
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43
43

Factor attribution

No pillar movement versus the latest stored run. Historical score trend will appear after snapshot storage is enabled.
Trust Score
82Healthy Trust · low confidenceTrust Lite

Trust asks: does management behaviour match later outcomes? Higher is better, but confidence and evidence depth matter as much as the number.

Healthy Trust: Claim history is still being built. It ranks around the 95th percentile of the scored universe and 90th percentile within Auto. No major sub-score weakness stands out.

High Trust Lite: Promoter holding is 60%.

Computed 08 Jun 2026
management-trust-v1
59 docs indexed · 35 concall links
Score band
Healthy Trust

Generally investable credibility. Look for weak sub-scores before increasing position size.

Relative rank
95th percentile

overall median 67 · Auto: 90th pctile, median 71 · Large: 84th pctile, median 74

Evidence depth
Financial-only

59 documents indexed, but claim history is not strong enough yet.

Claim delivery
Outcome history still building

0 claims extracted · No contradicted claim yet

How to read this Trust Score

Healthy Trust · low confidence
What it measures
Reliability of management and financial delivery, using financial behaviour only.
Confidence
Treat this as an early read until more concalls and outcomes are matched.
Investor use
Can support position sizing if valuation and trend also agree.

Read Trust alongside U-Score, result consistency, and technical trend. A cheap stock with weak Trust needs a larger margin of safety; a high Trust score does not make an expensive stock attractive by itself.

Forensic breakdown

Read low sub-scores as due-diligence warnings, not automatic sell signals.

Promoter
86
strong · holding, pledge, alignment
Cash flow
77
strong · profit to cash conversion
Balance sheet
96
strong · leverage and solvency
Discipline
74
acceptable · capital discipline
Results
79
strong · quarterly consistency

Trust positives

  • Promoter holding is 60%.
  • Promoter pledge is zero.
  • FCF yield is positive at 0.4%.
  • 4 years of positive FCF.

Trust risks

  • No major Trust Lite risk flags.

Trust Lite uses financial behaviour only. Prefer claim-tested Trust when enough concall claims have later outcomes.

Intrinsic value

Graham Number
₹3,455.14
-314.1% MoS
DCF Fair PE
33.0
DCF Fair Value
₹8,997.45
-59.0% MoS
PEG
3.02

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/E
51.90
P/B
7.35
EV/EBITDA
34.53
Market Cap
27121.00Cr

Profitability

ROE
15.20%
ROCE
20.30%
ROA
11.68%
Dividend Y
0.03%

Growth (CAGR)

Revenue 5Y
16.00%
EPS 5Y
16.00%
Revenue 3Y
6.00%
EPS 3Y
19.00%

Balance Sheet

Debt/Equity
0.01
Interest Coverage
131.00×
Altman Z
8.88
Book Value
1946.00

Cash Flow

FCF Yield
0.38%
FCF Positive Y
4/5
OCF
810.00 Cr
EPS TTM
272.65

Shareholding

Promoter Hold
60.00%
Promoter Pledge
0.00%
Momentum 52W
51%

Financial History

Updated 9/6/2026

Revenue

₹ Cr
Latest: 4,119+7.5% vs prev
04119Mar 2022: 2,543Mar 2023: 3,444Mar 2024: 3,816Mar 2025: 3,831Mar 2026: 4,119FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Net Profit

₹ Cr
Latest: 517+12.1% vs prev
0517.0Mar 2022: 142Mar 2023: 318Mar 2024: 406Mar 2025: 461Mar 2026: 517FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Return on Equity

%
Latest: 14.0-2.3% vs prev
014.6Mar 2022: 6.7%Mar 2023: 13.2%Mar 2024: 14.6%Mar 2025: 14.3%Mar 2026: 14.0%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Verify on:NSE India ↗
All information is for study purposes only. For investment decisions, consult your financial advisor. See Playbook for methodology.